Category Archives: Trump 2020

Updated Election Odds: Trump’s Large Odds See a Small Decline; Warren and Castro’s Odds Improve; Oprah Moves Up to 20th Place

After a small bounce last week, Donald Trump’s odds resumed their slow decline.  His odds are still the highest at 21.3%, but down from 21.6% last week and the lowest since his election.  The payout is back up to 3.0X from 2.9X.

Elizabeth Warren continued to be the top Democrat and in 3rd place overall.  Her odds increased to 6.1% as her payoff dropped from 10.6X to 10.4X.  This is the highest she has been since the middle of March.

Julian Castro was another Democrat that saw an increase.  He moved from 14th place to 13th place with his payout dropping from 35.1X to 33.6X.  This is the lowest payout (best odds) he has been since the beginning of March.

Oprah Winfrey also saw a jump this week.  She moved from 22nd place to 20th place as her payout dropped from 48.8X to 42.0X.  These are the best odds she has had since making her debut in the middle of March with a payout of 58.3X.

Here are the full odds:

For updated please follow me at @2016ElectOdds

 

Views – 758

Donald Trump’s Odds Saw a Small Improvement; Paul Ryan Drops Ahead of Big Legislative Week; Booker and Cuomo Up

Donald Trump’s odds saw an uptick improving from 21.4% to 21.6%, and payout for those betting on him decreased from 3.0X to 2.9X. Both of these are exactly he was two weeks ago.

Paul Ryan’s odds dropped ahead of a big legislative week.  His payout increased from 26.6X to 27.3X.  He remains in 8th place

On the Democratic side, Cory Booker’s odds improved as his payout decreased from 22.9X to 22.4X.  This is the best he has been in 6 weeks. He remains in 6th place overall and 4th among the Democrats (behind Warren, Obama, and Clinton).

Andrew Cuomo also saw his odds improve as his payout dropped from 29.5X to 28.8X. This is right around the average of where he has been (28.5X) since the tracking started post elections.

Here are the full odds:

For updates follow me Twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 802

Updated Election Odds: Trump’s Big Lead Continues to Shrink; Sanders and Kennedy up for Dems; Hayley Improves Profile and Odds

The trend has continued of Donald Trump having a large but shrinking lead:  The payout is now up to 3X from 2.9X.  It was at 2.4X pre-inauguration.  The probability dropped from 21.6% to 21.4%.  It was at 26.9% pre-inauguration.

Bernie Sanders continues to stay relevant, with his payout declining from 23X to 22.9X.  That was enough for him to jump into a tie for 6th place with Cory Booker.

Nikki Haley continues to increase her profile through her UN position.  Her payout has dropped from 56.3X to 53.6X. That puts her in 24th place.

Joseph P Kennedy joined the list at 23rd place with a payout of 55X.  This week he moves up to 21st place with a payout of 45.8X.

Here are the full odds:

Follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds for updates

Views – 725