Category Archives: Oprah 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Clooney 2020, Garcetti 2020, Oprah 2020, Trump 2020

Trump Stars at CPAC and Sees Small Gain in Odds; Oprah “Definitely not” running; Garcetti Visits South Carolina; Clooney Sparks 2020 Speculation after Gun Control Donation

Donald Trump’s odds continued to improve this week as it has become more and more clear there will not be a realistic challenger on the right.  The President spoke at CPAC  and received 93% approval according to attendees of the conservative conference.   His payout decreased from 3.03X to 3.02X, the lowest in 32 weeks.

Oprah’s odds improved despite her telling Jimmy Kimmel she is “definitely not” running in 2020. The payout decreased from 25.2X to 23.1X. her highest in 5 weeks, when she initially denied she would run.  She continues to be in 8th place overall.

Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti  paid a visit to South Carolina, an important 2020 primary state.  He improved from 40th place to 36th place.  His payout dropped from 73.4X to 66.5X, his highest in 8 weeks.

George Clooney ‘s donation to the gun-control march sparked speculation on whether he will run in 2020. He moved from 47th place to 41st place as his payout dropped from 83.8X to 74.1X.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 651

2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, Oprah 2020, Pence 2020, Trump 2020

Trump Continues to Improve while Pence Continues to Drop; Biden Open to Running; Oprah’s Odds up Despite Continued Denials of a Run

The recent trend of Donald Trump’s Odds improving while his VPs worsening continued this week.

The payout for Donald Trump winning once again dropped from 3.04X to 3.03X.  These are now the best odds he has had the past 30 weeks (since end of July).

Mike Pence’s odds on the other hand have been diving the past three weeks.  He came in at a payout of 13.1X from last week’s 12.5X and 10.8X four weeks ago.  This was enough to drop him 2nd place two weeks ago to 3rd last week to 4th this week as both Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris passed him by.

Joe Biden told a private gathering he’s open to running in 2020. That caused his payout to drop from last week’s 21.0X to this week’s 20.3X.  These are his best odds of the cycle.  He remains in 6th place.

Oprah had an interview on 60 Minutes Overtime  where she once again denied running.  The interview, however,  refueled speculation of a run. Her payout dropped from 28.4X to 25.2X as she moved from 12th place to 8th place, the highest she has been in four weeks. She was in second place for two weeks immediately following the Golden Globes.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 574

2020 Weekly Odds, Duckworth 2020, Newsom 2020, Oprah 2020, Trump 2020

Oprah’s Odds Drop as She Denies Any Interest in Running; Trump Continues Large Lead; Newsom Continues Hot Streak; Duckworth Down

 

Oprah’s odds tanked as she announced she won’t run for President and that she “doesn’t have the DNA for it”.  Her payout went from 10.6X and 2nd place overall last week to 27.1X and 11th place overall.  Prior to her SAG speech, Oprah was in 13th place at a payout of 33.3X.

Donald Trump’s odds improved as his payout dropped from 3.31X to 3.28X.  He has ranged between 3.25X and 3.35X for the last 15 weeks.  He still has more than three times the odds of the next candidate.

Gavin Newsom continued to be a hot candidate.  He has improved 6 of the last 7 weeks.  He came in this week at 25.3X down from 32.8X.  That was enough to move him from 13th place to 9th place overall.

Tammy Duckworth will become the first sitting Senator to give birth. That negatively impacted her odds as her payout increased from 81X to 101X.  She had been slowly improving over the past few weeks.  She is now in 53rd place dropping from last week’s 43rd place.

Here are the full odds:

 

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 633