Category Archives: Garcetti 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Bloomberg 2020, Garcetti 2020, Trump 2020, Warren 2020

Trump Sees First Dip in 20 Weeks; Warren Standout at Netroots Nation; Bloomberg Most Likely Centrist? Garcetti to Decide After Midterms

After 20 straight weeks of his odds improving, Donald Trump finally saw a dip.  His odds dropped from 2.31X to 2.33X.  That is still the second highest he has been at this whole cycle and is still nearly 5 times more likely to get elected as the next competitor.

Elizabeth Warren was the standout at Netroots Nation and is seen by many as the darling of the left. Her odds once again improved from 14.0X to 13.5X.  These are her highest odds in 19 weeks.  She remains in 4th place behind both Kamala Harris and Bernie Sanders but ahead of Joe Biden for the Democrats.

The most likely “centrist” for either party continues to be Michael Bloomberg. His odds improved from 48.4X to 42.5X.  These are his best odds in 18 weeks.  He is slowly making his move up from 15th place five weeks ago to 11th place this week.

Eric Garcetti says he’ll decide on whether he is running after the midterms.  TMZ is more confident about him running. His odds improved from 62.8X to 54.7X.  That is a new high and moves him from 24th place to 15th place.

Here are the full odds:

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2020 Weekly Odds, Bloomberg 2020, Garcetti 2020, Harris 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020

Trump’s Odds Continue to Improve; Kamala Harris Doesn’t Rule Out Running, Jumps to Second Place; Bloomberg Active In Helping Dems Capture House; Garcetti Continues to Increase Profile

Donald Trump’s odds continued to improve inching up from 2.46X to 2.45X, his highest odds since the inauguration in Jan 2017.  He has either been flat or improved the last 14 weeks.  He was at 2.79X at the start of the streak.

Kamala Harris improved from 11.8X to 11.4X.  This is a new high for her and enough of an improvement to have her jump back into second place ahead of Bernie Sanders.  Harris would not rule out running in 2020 this week when pressed for an answer during an interview.

Michael Bloomberg improved from 48.4X to 45.8X. This was enough to move him from 14th place to 13th place.  He has been on a mini hot streak moving from 21st place at the beginning of the month. Bloomberg is making sizable contributions to help the Democrats win the House in 2018.  Some think this may also be a way to set him up for a possible 2020 run.

Erica Garcetti improved from 68.1X to 67.3X and moving up from 32nd place to 31st. He was in 36th place four weeks ago.  Garcetti continued to increase his profile this week by having an in depth interview with Vox

Here are the full odds:

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2020 Weekly Odds, Clooney 2020, Garcetti 2020, Oprah 2020, Trump 2020

Trump Stars at CPAC and Sees Small Gain in Odds; Oprah “Definitely not” running; Garcetti Visits South Carolina; Clooney Sparks 2020 Speculation after Gun Control Donation

Donald Trump’s odds continued to improve this week as it has become more and more clear there will not be a realistic challenger on the right.  The President spoke at CPAC  and received 93% approval according to attendees of the conservative conference.   His payout decreased from 3.03X to 3.02X, the lowest in 32 weeks.

Oprah’s odds improved despite her telling Jimmy Kimmel she is “definitely not” running in 2020. The payout decreased from 25.2X to 23.1X. her highest in 5 weeks, when she initially denied she would run.  She continues to be in 8th place overall.

Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti  paid a visit to South Carolina, an important 2020 primary state.  He improved from 40th place to 36th place.  His payout dropped from 73.4X to 66.5X, his highest in 8 weeks.

George Clooney ‘s donation to the gun-control march sparked speculation on whether he will run in 2020. He moved from 47th place to 41st place as his payout dropped from 83.8X to 74.1X.

Here are the full odds:

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