After a small drop the prior week, Donald Trump’s odds rebounded from 2.79X to 2.77X, which is the same as two weeks ago and the highest since the middle of March ’17. They are still a bit away from the 2.41X high achieved on 1/7/17.
Bernie Sanders’ odds have been rising quietly over the last 5 weeks. This week they increased from 12.5X to 11.9X. That was enough for him to jump Kamala Harris (12.4X) for second place overall. Harris had held that spot for four weeks after jumping over Elizabeth Warren.
After 15 straight weeks of improvement, Donald Trump’s odds took a break. His payout increased from 2.77X to 2.79X. These are still significantly better odds from the 3.29X he had before the start of the streak. Trump has higher odds than the next four candidates combined.
Last week, Elizabeth Warren announced she is not running. Her odds took a hit from 13.3X to 15.5X. A week later, her odds rebounded to 13.4X which was enough for her to jump into 4th place. She was in 3rd two weeks ago, ahead of Bernie Sanders.
Joe Biden hasn’t ruled out running in 2020 and this week engaged in a war of words with Trump. Could this be a preview of what is to come in 2020? Biden’s odds improved from 18.5X to 16.8X. These are the top odds he has had this election cycle.
The recent trend of Donald Trump’s Odds improving while his VPs worsening continued this week.
The payout for Donald Trump winning once again dropped from 3.04X to 3.03X. These are now the best odds he has had the past 30 weeks (since end of July).
Mike Pence’s odds on the other hand have been diving the past three weeks. He came in at a payout of 13.1X from last week’s 12.5X and 10.8X four weeks ago. This was enough to drop him 2nd place two weeks ago to 3rd last week to 4th this week as both Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris passed him by.
Oprah had an interview on 60 Minutes Overtime where she once again denied running. The interview, however, refueled speculation of a run. Her payout dropped from 28.4X to 25.2X as she moved from 12th place to 8th place, the highest she has been in four weeks. She was in second place for two weeks immediately following the Golden Globes.
