Category Archives: Biden 2020

Initial 2020 Presidential Odds: Trump and Pence Top Odds for Republicans, Warren, Kaine, and Michelle Obama Top Democrats

It’s never too early to look at the odds for the 2020 Presidential Elections.  It’s not surprising that Donald Trump would lead the odds (4 of the last 5 Presidents have been re-elected).  What is surprising is the low odds (30%) and the competition from his current party (Combined 26% for all other Republican candidates.)

Mike Pence being second at 9.0% suggests that a part of the odds of Trump not winning in 2020 could be Trump decides not to run for reelection.

The Democrats are topped by Elizabeth Warren at 7.3%.  Will she finally run as the darling of the far left?  In a slight surprise Michelle Obama comes in second place at 6.4%.  Some oddsmakers as this article shows, have her as the most likely Democrat. The next two for the Democrats include Cory Booker, the Senator from NJ (4.3%), and Tim Kaine, Hillary Clinton’s VP partner (4.1%).

Speaking of Clinton, she comes in 10th place at  2.9%.  Age may be an issue for her at this point, as it is for Bernie Sanders (8th place 3.2%), and Joe Biden (15th place 2.3%).

Here is a full list of the current odds:

election-odds-11-19-2016

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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