Donald Trump’s odds saw a small improvement this week with the payout declining from 3.45X to 3.42X. That is his best showing since the beginning of September. That is still well below his all time high when the payout was at only 2.41X the first week of January.
Mike Pence continues to be in second place but he took a big drop. His payout increased from 9.2X to 9.8X, his lowest showing. He reached his peak the last week of December at 8.0X.
Kamala Harris continued to be the hottest name, once again improving this time from 17.6X to 17.3X, a new high. She is now comfortably in 4th place overall behind Warren and ahead of Sanders.
The hot name from last week was Oprah. She moved up once again this time from 28.6X to 27.3X. That was not enough to get her into the top 10 however, as she remained in 11th place. Cory Booker is in 10th place, just ahead of her at 27.2X.
For the third straight week, Donald Trump’s odds remained flat at 3.45X. This, despite what appeared to be a tough week that included NFL/Flag controversy, North Korea accusing US of declaring war , response to Puerto Rico crisis, a Repeal and Replace defeat, and Price controversy/resignation. He continues to have higher odds than the next three opponents combined.
Kamala Harris continued her hot streak as she reached another new high. She remained in 4th place overall but her payout dropped from 17.8X to 17.6X.
John Delaney was the first candidate to officially throw his name in for 2020 a few months back. The MD Democrat has been working IA and NH hoping to get his name out there including this interview with CBS. His payout improved from 201X to 176X. That’s enough to move him out of last place and switch positions with Jill Stein for 64th place.
After dropping for eight straight weeks, Donald Trump’s odds improved this week. This comes at a time where he appears to be reaching across the aisle to work with Democrats on things like DACA, which may help him with independents but has angered his base. Payout for betting on Trump decreased from 3.46X to 3.45X. The payout was at 2.98X before the decline started. Trump is the odds on favorite having higher odds than the next three competitors combined.
Kamala Harris continues to be the hottest name on the left. She is beginning to be seen as potentially the top candidate for the Democrats Her odds reflected this as she jumped over both Michelle Obama and Bernie Sanders into 4th place overall. Her payout dropped from 21.0X to 17.7X. The payout was over 30X at the beginning of July.
The hot name the past few weeks on the right has been Ted Cruz. Cruz had an odd week as the story that caught the biggest headlines was his twitter account liking a porn tweet. What might have helped his odds however is Trump’s possible pivot to the middle. This created policy differences between Cruz and Trump in issues that are important to the Republican base such as immigration. He moves from 29th place to 26th place. His payout has dropped from 54.7X to 48.9X. That is the highest odds he has been at this cycle.
Hillary Clinton had the biggest drop of the week as she embarked on her book tour. In an interview last Sunday she stated “I am done with being a candidate” and she repeated that theme in interviews throughout the week. She dropped from 11th place to 12th place with her payout increasing from 30.4X to 34.9X. This is the lowest she has been.
