Hillary Clinton continued to come back to the pack but is still the heavy favorite. Her probability is now at 36.8%, down from a peak on 8/2 of 46.4%. That is still well ahead of the #2 candidate Marco Rubio at 4.6%.
Two big moves down on the Republican side are Mitt Romney and Rick Perry.
Mitt Romney moves from as high as 9th place on 8/30 down to 17th place this week, perhaps due to his insistence in the past week that he will not run. His probability is now down to 1.1%
Rick Perry has seen the biggest fall from grace dropping all the way down to 38th place after peaking at 4th place on 8/2 (before indictment and after he deployed the national guard for the border crisis). Odds for Perry winning vary widely from as low as 33 to 1 as high as 150 to 1.
For the Democrats Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden continue to be the top competitors to Hillary Clinton coming in at 6th and 7th overall.
To see a list of all candidates and their odds, click here
CNN Iowa poll of a 1,000 adults showed Hillary Clinton with a commanding lead in the state for the Democratic nomination at 53%. Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren were a distant 2nd and 3rd at 15% and 7% respectively.
On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee leads at 21% followed by Paul Ryan and 12%. A cluster of 9 other candidates range from 3% to 7% follow including Rand Paul, Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, and Rick Santorum.
Democrats:
Clinton 53%
Biden 15%
Warren 7%
Sanders 5%
Cuomo 3%
O’Malley 2%
Patrick 1%
Republicans:
Huckabee 21%
Ryan 12%
Paul 7%
Bush 6%
Christie 6%
Perry 5%
Rubio 5%
Walker 5%
Cruz 4%
Jindal 4%
Santorum 3%
Hillary Clinton continues to have a large, but shrinking lead. Her probability is now at 41.1%, well above the 2nd place candidate Marco Rubio who is at 4.5%. The probability has shrunk however from 44.4% at the beginning of the month. Chris Christie has continued to rebound and is now in 4th place overall switching spots with Rand Paul, now in 5th. Christie was the top GOP candidate as late as the end of May before he started trending down, bottoming beginning of August at 8th place.
Paul Ryan dropped to 7th place from 6th swapping spot with Elizabeth Warren.
The biggest move of the week was another drop by Rick Perry. Perry is now in 18th place after peaking at 4th place at the beginning of the month. He is now behind much lesser known names like Tim Pawlenty and Mitch Daniels.
Dark horse of the week goes to Andrew Cuomo who is now in 11th place. He has moved up each of the last 4 weeks from 20th place.
To see a list of all candidates and their odds, click here