A Public Policy Polling survey shows the NC will likely be a toss up between the Republican candidate and Hillary Clinton in 2016. Romney beat Obama in the state in 2012 50% to 48%.

The Poll shows Jeb Bush and Mike Huckabee slightly ahead of Clinton, while fellow Republicans Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, and Rand Paul don’t do as well:

Jeb Bush over Hillary Clinton 45%-43%
Clinton over Chris Christie 45%-38%
Hillary Clinton over Ted Cruz 48%-40%
Mike Huckabee over Hillary Clinton 46%-45%
Hillary Clinton over Rand Paul 46%-41%

Compared to an August poll by Civitas, Clinton has lost some ground to Bush(48%-47% in August). She has overtaken Christie (Christie was ahead of Clinton 47%-46% in August), and increased her lead over Paul (48%-47% in August).

Link to the poll
Link to list of all candidates and their odds
Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates
Link to recent news on the race
Link to recent Polls
For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 832

A new CNN Poll shows Rand Paul and Hillary Clinton leading for the nomination for their respective parties.

On the Republican side, Rand Paul leads at 15% followed by Jeb Bush and Paul Ryan at 10% and Chris Christie and Mike Huckabee at 9%.

Below are the total results with how the candidates fared in a July poll by Marist in parenthesis

Paul 15% (14%)
Bush 10% (10%)
Ryan 10% (7%)
Christie 9% (13%)
Huckabee 9%
Perry 7% (5%)
Rubio 7% (7%)
Walker 7%  (6%)
Cruz 6% (9%)
Jindal 3% (4%)
Santorum 3% (3%)

In comparing the results, Paul is holding steady at the lead with Bush a solid #2.  Ryan seems to have made up the most space while Christie and Cruz have slipped the most.  Huckabee was not even an option on the last poll, and finishes tied for 4th.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads 60% over Elizabeth Warren at 11% and Joe Biden at 8%.   Sanders is a surprisingly strong 4th place at 7%.

Clinton 60%
Warren 11%
Biden 8%
Sanders 7%
Patrick 4%
Cuomo 1%
O’Malley 1%

The July poll only asked about Clinton and Biden, and in that one Clinton got 74% and Biden got 18%.  These two numbers are obviously inflated by only having two choices.

Views – 867

Because of the large number of electoral votes, and the fact that the margin was less than 1% in 2012, Florida will be one of the more important battles in the 2016 presidential elections.

A  poll was released by the Public Policy Polling for September that included some matchups of Hillary Clinton vs. different GOP candidates.

Clinton wins in all headed to head matchups with Jeb Bush being the closest.  The same poll was taken in July for some of these candidates.  Comparing the results of the two polls shows Clinton’s lead shrinking against Bush, Christie, and Rubio.  Here are the results.

Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 44% (47%-41% July)

Clinton 46% Chris Christie 38% (49%-38% in July)

Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 36%

Clinton 49% Mike Huckabee 40%

Clinton 48% Rand Paul 40% (46%-42% in July)

Clinton 49% and Marco Rubio 42% (53%-39% in July)

Barack Obama beat Mitt Romney 50.0% to 49.1% in Florida in 2012.

Views – 834