Donald Trump’s odds stayed flat to last week coming in at 3.28X. He remains more than three times more likely to win the presidency as any candidate, although his odds have fallen over the last year. At this time last year, Trump was at 2.58X, or 21% more likely.
The big mover on the week was once again Kirsten Gillibrand. The Senator from NY called for the President to resign this week and the President bit the bait and took her on. That increased her profile once again and likewise her odds. This week she improved from 45.8X to 36.4X. That moved her from 18th place to 12th place.
Marco Rubio stated he will not support the tax bill without changes to the child credit. Many see this as a play to improve his odds for 2020. His odds improved from 47.1X to 42.6X. That moved him from 20th place to 19th place (4th among Republicans).
Donald Trump’s odds once again saw very little movement with the payout moving from 3.29X to 3.28X. He has been in a very tight range the last 8 weeks (3.25X to 3.35X). He remains more than three times more likely to win than the next challenger.
Mark Zuckerberg saw a slight improvement for the third straight week. He moved this week from 25.5X to 24.8X which was enough for him to move into 7th place overall. He was at 26.3X just four weeks ago.
The big news on the week was Al Franken’s resignation among sexual assault accusations. His payout increased from 49X to 58.4X. That was enough to drop him from 21st place to 28th place. He will likely drop more next week as not all sites have updated their odds. Franken was as high as 18th place just 5 weeks ago.
The straw that finally broke the camel’s back for Franken may have been fellow Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand calling for his resignation. Her odds improved with the increase in profile. Her payout decreased from 47.7X to 45.8X, which pushed her from 19th place to 18th place. She seems to be making sexual assault the focus of her career.
Donald Trump’s Odds saw a small decline in an event filled week that ended with the Senate passing their version of the tax bill and the guilty plea of Michael Flynn for lying to the FBI. The payout increased from 3.27X to 3.29X. That is a very minor change and is better than the 3.31X from two weeks ago.
Oprah had the biggest drop of the week with her payout increasing from 28.5X to 30.4X. That is the lowest she has been in 10 weeks, when she teased a run. She remains in 11th place overall (She was 28th place 11 weeks ago).
Nikki Haley saw an improvement as her payout decreased from 53.5X to 51.3X. She improves from 26th place to 23rd place. She is 5th and the highest woman among the Republicans.
The biggest mover up was George Clooney. His payout moved from 112.4X to 70.7X which was enough to move him from 61st place to 38th place. There was no apparent news, but the movement was seen in the majority of the 8 sites with odds on him.
