Donald Trump’s odds once again saw very little movement with the payout moving from 3.29X to 3.28X. He has been in a very tight range the last 8 weeks (3.25X to 3.35X). He remains more than three times more likely to win than the next challenger.
Mark Zuckerberg saw a slight improvement for the third straight week. He moved this week from 25.5X to 24.8X which was enough for him to move into 7th place overall. He was at 26.3X just four weeks ago.
The big news on the week was Al Franken’s resignation among sexual assault accusations. His payout increased from 49X to 58.4X. That was enough to drop him from 21st place to 28th place. He will likely drop more next week as not all sites have updated their odds. Franken was as high as 18th place just 5 weeks ago.
The straw that finally broke the camel’s back for Franken may have been fellow Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand calling for his resignation. Her odds improved with the increase in profile. Her payout decreased from 47.7X to 45.8X, which pushed her from 19th place to 18th place. She seems to be making sexual assault the focus of her career.
Donald Trump’s odds rebounded this week after two weeks of declines. His payout dropped from 3.34X to 3.31X. His odds have been in a range of 3.20X and 3.46X for the last 15 weeks.
Kamala Harris continued to be the hottest name on the Democratic side. Her odds once again improved as her payout decreased from 15.0X to 14.6X. She remains in 4th place . Harris comes up as the top alternative as the new face for the Democrats as this essay illustrates.
Joe Biden has seen his odds improve the last two weeks. This week they moved from 26.0X to 24.7X, but he remained in 7th place. A poll released this week showed Biden would be ahead of Trump 46 to 35. The interesting thing is a “generic Democrat” would be ahead by a larger margin 48 to 34.
Al Franken’s odds tanked with the sexual misconduct allegations. The payout increased from 45.9X to 51.3X which dropped him from 18th place to 22nd place. He had been a hot name prior to this moving from 30th place to 18th place in 5 weeks.
For the second straight week, Donald Trump’s odds saw a small decline. This week it was from 3.27X to 3.34X. It appears his trip to Asia didn’t help with these odds being the lowest in four weeks.
Al Franken was another Democrat to see his odds jump. He moved from 21st place to 18th place as his payout dropped from 49.5X to 45.9X. This is the highest he has been this cycle.
