Category Archives: Franken 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Clinton 2020, Franken 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020

Trump Continues to Edge Higher; Sanders Strong After NH Poll; Clinton Improves Despite Saying She Will not Run; Franken up into Top 25

In what looks like a replay of the 2016 election, three of the larger improvements  this week were from Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Hillary Clinton.

Trump’s odds saw another improvement, this time with the payout dropping from last week’s 3.38X to this week’s 3.33X.  These are the best odds he has had in 9 weeks.

Bernie Sanders saw his odds improve to a new high as his payout dropped from 18.3X to 17.7X.  Although a new NH poll showed he is currently the favorite for the Democratic nomination from that state, he is  still behind Elizabeth Warren (11.9X) and Kamala Harris (16.4X) as far as odds for the nomination.

Hillary Clinton’s odd’s improved despite her saying she will not run again.The payout improved from 35.5X to 34.0X, her highest in 6 weeks. This moved her up one spot from 13th place to 12th place.

Al Franken had the biggest move for the week as his payout improved from 57.1X to 49.5X.  This was enough to move him from 30th place to 23rd place.  That is the highest he has been at this entire cycle.  Franken made news this week as he grilled Jeff Sessions in the Senate hearings.

Here is the full list of odds:

 

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 613

2020 Weekly Odds, Franken 2020, Haley 2020, Schultz 2020, Trump 2020

Trump Steady at the Top; Haley Continues to Increase Profile and Odds; Franken up as He Continues to Attack Cruz; Howard Schultz Rockets up the List

Donald Trump’s odds have been steady the last three weeks after 7 weeks of declines.  Payout for putting money on Trump is exactly what it was last week at 3.45X.  His odds are nearly three times that the next competitor, his VP Mike Pence.

The UN met this week, which naturally raised Nikki Haley’s profile, as well as her odds.   Her payout improved to 46X from 47.5X.  That was enough to move her up from 25th place to 23rd place.

On the Democratic side, the big riser was Al Franken.  He was in Texas and was once again taking shots at Ted Cruz and denying he would run in 2020. His payout improved to 54.5X from 59X.  This is the lowest payout/highest odds he has had.  He moved from 31st place to 29th place.

Every week, it seems a different non politician makes a move.  This week it was time for former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz.  He “sounds like a 2020 presidential candidate” according to the Washington Post.  His payout dropped from 96.5X to 63X.  That rocketed  him from 50th place to 33rd place.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 622

2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, Franken 2020, Harris 2020, Trump 2020

Trump’s Odds Steady; Kamala Harris into Top 10; Franken up, Biden down

For the 9th straight week, Donald Trump’s payout remained at 3.0X with his probability at 20.4%.  That is once again equivalent to the probability for the next four competitors combined.

Kamala Harris was the hottest name on the week as she continues to meet with Democratic power brokers and donors. Her payout dropped from 28.6X to 25.2X.  That was enough for her to jump over Paul Ryan for 10th place overall.  Her payout was over 30X just four weeks ago.

Al Franken continues to be another hot name.  His payout dropped from 63X to 59X.  He was at 71.7X five weeks ago before releasing his book and embarking on a bit of a promotional tour.  He is currently in 29th place.

One big drop was Joe Biden who’s payout moved from 23.3X to 24.2X.  This is the worst he has been in 9 weeks.  He was asked about running in 2020 by Katie Couric and dodged the question on Saturday.  He remains in 7th place overall.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 617