Category Archives: Trump 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Clooney 2020, Garcetti 2020, Oprah 2020, Trump 2020

Trump Stars at CPAC and Sees Small Gain in Odds; Oprah “Definitely not” running; Garcetti Visits South Carolina; Clooney Sparks 2020 Speculation after Gun Control Donation

Donald Trump’s odds continued to improve this week as it has become more and more clear there will not be a realistic challenger on the right.  The President spoke at CPAC  and received 93% approval according to attendees of the conservative conference.   His payout decreased from 3.03X to 3.02X, the lowest in 32 weeks.

Oprah’s odds improved despite her telling Jimmy Kimmel she is “definitely not” running in 2020. The payout decreased from 25.2X to 23.1X. her highest in 5 weeks, when she initially denied she would run.  She continues to be in 8th place overall.

Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti  paid a visit to South Carolina, an important 2020 primary state.  He improved from 40th place to 36th place.  His payout dropped from 73.4X to 66.5X, his highest in 8 weeks.

George Clooney ‘s donation to the gun-control march sparked speculation on whether he will run in 2020. He moved from 47th place to 41st place as his payout dropped from 83.8X to 74.1X.

Here are the full odds:

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Views – 752

2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, Oprah 2020, Pence 2020, Trump 2020

Trump Continues to Improve while Pence Continues to Drop; Biden Open to Running; Oprah’s Odds up Despite Continued Denials of a Run

The recent trend of Donald Trump’s Odds improving while his VPs worsening continued this week.

The payout for Donald Trump winning once again dropped from 3.04X to 3.03X.  These are now the best odds he has had the past 30 weeks (since end of July).

Mike Pence’s odds on the other hand have been diving the past three weeks.  He came in at a payout of 13.1X from last week’s 12.5X and 10.8X four weeks ago.  This was enough to drop him 2nd place two weeks ago to 3rd last week to 4th this week as both Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris passed him by.

Joe Biden told a private gathering he’s open to running in 2020. That caused his payout to drop from last week’s 21.0X to this week’s 20.3X.  These are his best odds of the cycle.  He remains in 6th place.

Oprah had an interview on 60 Minutes Overtime  where she once again denied running.  The interview, however,  refueled speculation of a run. Her payout dropped from 28.4X to 25.2X as she moved from 12th place to 8th place, the highest she has been in four weeks. She was in second place for two weeks immediately following the Golden Globes.

Here are the full odds:

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Views – 680

2020 Weekly Odds, Castro 2020, Pence 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020, Warren 2020

Pence’s Odds Drop as Trump’s Improve; Sanders Sees Big Jump; Castro Announces Interest in Running

For the second straight week, Mike Pence’s odds dropped.  This time the payout went from 12.0X to 12.5X.  That was another new low for the VP.  The change in odds was enough to drop him behind Elizabeth Warren and into 3rd place.

Pence’s drop once again helped Donald Trump.  His odds improved for the third week in a row as his payout moved from 3.06X to 3.04X, his best odds since 7/22.  His odds are now more than 4 times better than his next competitor: Elizabeth Warren.

Bernie Sanders had a big improvement in odds.  His payout moved from 16.3X to 14.7X.  That was not enough for him to move from his 5th place spot.  His recent activity on social media has many speculating on a run. 

Julian Castro stated “I have every interest in running” for president, to NBC News.  Interestingly, he saw a drop in odds from a payout of 42.5X to 44.5X.  That was enough for him to slide from 18th place to 24th place.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 692