For the 5th straight week, the payout for putting money on Trump remains at 3.0X. At 20.6%, he continues to have the same odds as the next four competitors combined.
Bernie Sanders’ odds once again improved as he continues to increase his profile. He did so this week with appearances attacking the Senate healthcare bill. For the second straight week he remains in 5th place with his payout once again dropping from last week’s 22.1X to 20.8X. This is the lowest payout (highest odds) he has been at this election cycle. Just 3 weeks ago he was at 23.6X.
Paul Ryan’s odds improved without much news behind it. His payout dropped from 27.3X to 25.9X. It had been in a range between 26.9X and 27.7X for 9 straight weeks. He remains in 9th place, and third among the Republicans.
One of the hottest names continues to be Mark Zuckerberg. This week, he visited Iowa, an important state politically for anyone running for President, as part of his tour of the US. Zuckerberg also made some news changing the mission of Facebook His payout drops from 29.1X to 27.4X. This a new high in this election cycle and he continues to be in 10th place. Zuckerberg joined the odds in the middle of January in 50th place at a payout of 107.3X.
There was little change in Donald Trump’s odds post Comey testimony. For the third straight week the payout was at 3.0X . His probability did have a small move up to 20.8% from 20.5%, his highest in three weeks. He has a large lead with nearly three times the odds of his next closest competitor, VP Mike Pence.
Bernie Sanders has increased his profile leading the opposition and his odds reflect that. His payout dropped from 23.6X to 22.6X. That is his second lowest of the cycle (22.5X beginning of April). He remains in 7th place overall, 5th among Democrats.
Marco Rubio moved up from 19th place to 18th place. His payout dropped from 38.7X to 36.6X. That is his lowest since the end of the year. He is the top Republican outside of the Trump orbit (Pence and Ryan are ahead of him in the odds).
Donald Trump’s odds saw an uptick improving from 21.4% to 21.6%, and payout for those betting on him decreased from 3.0X to 2.9X. Both of these are exactly he was two weeks ago.
Paul Ryan’s odds dropped ahead of a big legislative week. His payout increased from 26.6X to 27.3X. He remains in 8th place
On the Democratic side, Cory Booker’s odds improved as his payout decreased from 22.9X to 22.4X. This is the best he has been in 6 weeks. He remains in 6th place overall and 4th among the Democrats (behind Warren, Obama, and Clinton).
Andrew Cuomo also saw his odds improve as his payout dropped from 29.5X to 28.8X. This is right around the average of where he has been (28.5X) since the tracking started post elections.
