After a small bounce last week, Donald Trump’s odds resumed their slow decline. His odds are still the highest at 21.3%, but down from 21.6% last week and the lowest since his election. The payout is back up to 3.0X from 2.9X.
Elizabeth Warren continued to be the top Democrat and in 3rd place overall. Her odds increased to 6.1% as her payoff dropped from 10.6X to 10.4X. This is the highest she has been since the middle of March.
Julian Castro was another Democrat that saw an increase. He moved from 14th place to 13th place with his payout dropping from 35.1X to 33.6X. This is the lowest payout (best odds) he has been since the beginning of March.
Oprah Winfrey also saw a jump this week. She moved from 22nd place to 20th place as her payout dropped from 48.8X to 42.0X. These are the best odds she has had since making her debut in the middle of March with a payout of 58.3X.
Donald Trump was steady at the top. The payout remained at 2.7X and his probability improved slightly from 23.5% to 23.7%. Prior to this week he had been drifting a little bit lower each week, having peaked in the middle of January at 26.9% probability and a 2.4X payout.
Paul Ryan took a hit this week as he was out promoting the healthcare bill. His payout spiked from 26.2X to 28.5X and he dropped from 8th place to 10th place.
A couple of non politicians continue to see their odds improve:
Oprah made her debut last week in 23rd place at 58.3X. She improves this week to 21st place with a big decline in payout to 46.7X.
Mark Zuckerberg improves from 20th place to 18th place with his payout now decreasing to 41.4X. He was in 45th place at 107.3X payout just two months ago.
