Donald Trump saw a drop in odds as his payout increased from 3.28X to 3.31X. This is the lowest he has been in 8 weeks but he remains nearly 3 times as likely as his next opponent. It’s been 8 days since the release of the book Fire and Fury. The President’s odds, as with most others, were also probably impacted by the rise in the odds for Oprah.
Oprah Winfrey delivered a speech on Sunday at the Golden Globes, and that sent political world and the betting world into a frenzy. Prior to the speech, payout for betting on Oprah was at 33.3X. In September they were above 50X. Today, as a result of that speech and speculation after, she has vaulted to 2nd place (from 13th place) ahead of Mike Pence at 10.1X. Different sites range anywhere between 9X and 12X. The odds are a reflection of people betting on her. It will be interesting to watch if the odds fall back as the if/when the media buzz wears off.
Kirsten Gillibrand continued her recent run improving from 27.6X to 23.2X. That allowed her to move up from 10th place to 8th place. Just six weeks ago she was in 18th place with a payout of 45.8X.
One under the radar name that has been improving consistently is Illinois Senator Tammy Duckworth. She is listed as the 9th most likely female Democrat to run in this article. She has had a small improvement in each of the last 5 weeks moving from 53rd place and 101X to the current 43rd place and 81X.
Donald Trump’s Odds saw a small decline in an event filled week that ended with the Senate passing their version of the tax bill and the guilty plea of Michael Flynn for lying to the FBI. The payout increased from 3.27X to 3.29X. That is a very minor change and is better than the 3.31X from two weeks ago.
Oprah had the biggest drop of the week with her payout increasing from 28.5X to 30.4X. That is the lowest she has been in 10 weeks, when she teased a run. She remains in 11th place overall (She was 28th place 11 weeks ago).
Nikki Haley saw an improvement as her payout decreased from 53.5X to 51.3X. She improves from 26th place to 23rd place. She is 5th and the highest woman among the Republicans.
The biggest mover up was George Clooney. His payout moved from 112.4X to 70.7X which was enough to move him from 61st place to 38th place. There was no apparent news, but the movement was seen in the majority of the 8 sites with odds on him.
Donald Trump’s odds improved for the 7th straight week. His payout has decreased from 3.33X to 3.25X. It was at 3.45X seven weeks ago. These are Trump’s best odds since the middle of August.
The same can’t be said for Trump’s VP, Mike Pence. Although he remains a solid 2nd place, his payout increased from 9.8X to 9.9X. This is another new low for Pence, and he has been down 4 of the last 5 weeks.
Elizabeth Warren showed some signs of life this week. Although she’s been the leading Democrat since the beginning of this election cycle, her odds had reach a new low last week with a payout of 11.9X. She had peaked several times at 9.7X. This week she was able to reverse the recent negative trend and improved her odds as her payout fell to 11.7X, the best odds in four weeks.
One of the hotter names the last five weeks has been Oprah Winfrey. She once again improved, this time from 25.6X to 24.9X. This was enough to have her jump into 7th place overall. She was in 28th place just six weeks ago.
