Category Archives: JosephKennedy2020

Updated Election Odds: Trump Steady at the Top; Ryan Declines with Heatlhcare Bill; Joseph Kennedy Makes Strong Debut; Outsiders Zuckerberg and Oprah Continue to Improve

Donald Trump was steady at the top.  The payout remained at 2.7X and his probability improved slightly from 23.5% to 23.7%.  Prior to this week he had been drifting a little bit lower each week, having peaked in the middle of January at 26.9% probability and a 2.4X payout.

Paul Ryan took a hit this week as he was out promoting the healthcare bill.  His payout spiked from 26.2X to 28.5X and he dropped from 8th place to 10th place.

Joseph Kennedy made a strong debut at 23rd place with a 55 to 1 payout.  The Democratic Congressman raised his profile with the healthcare debate. 

A couple of non politicians continue to see their odds improve:

Oprah made her debut last week in 23rd place at 58.3X.  She improves this week to 21st place with a big decline in payout to 46.7X.

Mark Zuckerberg improves from 20th place to 18th place with his payout now decreasing to 41.4X.  He was in 45th place at 107.3X payout just two months ago.

Here are the full odds:

Follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds for updates

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