Donald Trump continued to have a large lead (nearly 4 times the probability of Elizabeth Warren, the closest Democrat to him). That lead continues to shrink however. His probability is down from 22.2% last week to 21.6% this week. It peaked just before the inauguration at 26.9%. $1 on Trump currently pays out an average of $2.9.
On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton seemed to be raising her profile a bit this past week with some public statements. That did not help her odds. Her payout increased from 21.4X to 21.9X. Her odds were highest 4 weeks ago when the payout was at 20.6X. She remains in 5th place.
Cory Booker rebounded from his drop last week. He jumps over Bernie Sanders for 6th place as his payout decreased from 23.1X to 22.9X.
The biggest mover of the week was Nikki Haley whose profile increased with her speech in the U.N on Syria. Her payoff dropped from 64.5X to 56.3X. That was enough to move her from 27th place to 24th place.
Donald Trump continued to dominate the odds having as much probability as the next six candidates combined. The payoff for placing a bet on Trump remained the same at 2.4X.
Biggest Movers up:
Bernie Sanders: 11th place from 18th as payoff dropped from 33.9x to 28.3x
Nikki Haley: 31st place to 20th place as payoff dropped from 77.3X to 40.7X
Biggest Movers down:
Tim Kaine: 13th place from 8th place as payoff increased from 22.6x to 29.6x
Joe Biden: 14th place from 10th place as payoff increased from 23.1x to 30.0x
Marco Rubio: 21st place from 15th place as payoff increased from 30.0x to 41.4x
Debuts:
Sherrod Brown: D Senator from OH at 16th place with 34.0X
Tulsi Gabbard: D Rep from HI at 22nd place with 51.0X
Leonardo DiCaprio: Actor 36th place with 81.0X
Sarah Palin: former R Gov of AK 40th place with 101X
