Updated Election Odds: Trump’s Big Lead Continues to Shrink; Haley Moves up with Higher Profile; Booker Up; Clinton Down

Donald Trump continued to have a large lead (nearly 4 times the probability of Elizabeth Warren, the closest Democrat to him).  That lead continues to shrink however.  His probability is down from 22.2% last week to 21.6% this week.  It peaked just before the inauguration at 26.9%. $1 on Trump currently pays out an average of $2.9.

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton seemed to be raising her profile a bit this past week with some public statements.  That did not help her odds.   Her payout increased from 21.4X to 21.9X.  Her odds were highest 4 weeks ago when the payout was at 20.6X. She remains in 5th place.

Cory Booker rebounded from his drop last week.  He jumps over Bernie Sanders for 6th place as his payout decreased from 23.1X to 22.9X.

The biggest mover of the week was Nikki Haley whose profile increased with her speech in the U.N on Syria.  Her payoff dropped from 64.5X to 56.3X.  That was enough to move her from 27th place to 24th place.

Here are the full odds: 

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