The trend has continued of Donald Trump having a large but shrinking lead: The payout is now up to 3X from 2.9X. It was at 2.4X pre-inauguration. The probability dropped from 21.6% to 21.4%. It was at 26.9% pre-inauguration.
Bernie Sanders continues to stay relevant, with his payout declining from 23X to 22.9X. That was enough for him to jump into a tie for 6th place with Cory Booker.
Nikki Haley continues to increase her profile through her UN position. Her payout has dropped from 56.3X to 53.6X. That puts her in 24th place.
Joseph P Kennedy joined the list at 23rd place with a payout of 55X. This week he moves up to 21st place with a payout of 45.8X.
Donald Trump continued to have a large lead (nearly 4 times the probability of Elizabeth Warren, the closest Democrat to him). That lead continues to shrink however. His probability is down from 22.2% last week to 21.6% this week. It peaked just before the inauguration at 26.9%. $1 on Trump currently pays out an average of $2.9.
On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton seemed to be raising her profile a bit this past week with some public statements. That did not help her odds. Her payout increased from 21.4X to 21.9X. Her odds were highest 4 weeks ago when the payout was at 20.6X. She remains in 5th place.
Cory Booker rebounded from his drop last week. He jumps over Bernie Sanders for 6th place as his payout decreased from 23.1X to 22.9X.
The biggest mover of the week was Nikki Haley whose profile increased with her speech in the U.N on Syria. Her payoff dropped from 64.5X to 56.3X. That was enough to move her from 27th place to 24th place.
Donald Trump’s odds continued to be fairly steady with a similar payout (2.6X) and probability (24.5%) as two weeks ago.
Mike Pence continues to be in second and improved a little bit. His payout is at 8.7X and his probability is at 7.3%.
Cory Booker continued to be in 6th place, but his payout dropped (odds improved) once again, this time from 22.2 to 21.6. He has nearly the same payout as Hillary Clinton (21.5) who is in 5th place.
The big riser continues to be Mark Zuckerberg. He was in 45th place with a payout of 107X just 6 weeks. His payout this week dropped from 53.8X to 43.8X and he is now in 20th place.
