Donald Trump’s odds rebounded this week after two weeks of declines. His payout dropped from 3.34X to 3.31X. His odds have been in a range of 3.20X and 3.46X for the last 15 weeks.
Kamala Harris continued to be the hottest name on the Democratic side. Her odds once again improved as her payout decreased from 15.0X to 14.6X. She remains in 4th place . Harris comes up as the top alternative as the new face for the Democrats as this essay illustrates.
Joe Biden has seen his odds improve the last two weeks. This week they moved from 26.0X to 24.7X, but he remained in 7th place. A poll released this week showed Biden would be ahead of Trump 46 to 35. The interesting thing is a “generic Democrat” would be ahead by a larger margin 48 to 34.
Al Franken’s odds tanked with the sexual misconduct allegations. The payout increased from 45.9X to 51.3X which dropped him from 18th place to 22nd place. He had been a hot name prior to this moving from 30th place to 18th place in 5 weeks.
For the second straight week, Donald Trump’s odds saw a small decline. This week it was from 3.27X to 3.34X. It appears his trip to Asia didn’t help with these odds being the lowest in four weeks.
Al Franken was another Democrat to see his odds jump. He moved from 21st place to 18th place as his payout dropped from 49.5X to 45.9X. This is the highest he has been this cycle.
After seven weeks of drifting up, Donald Trump’s odd saw a small decline as the payout increased from 3.25X to 3.27X. This drop coincided with the first indictments in the Russia investigation. It will be interesting to see if it bumps back up as the headlines change to the President’s Asia trip over the next two weeks.
Kamala Harris keeps reaching new highs. Her payout dropped from 16.4X to 15.4X and she remains in 4th place. She made news this week by becoming the first Senate Democrat vowing to oppose any government funding bill unless Congress takes action on the DREAMers. Many see this as a 2020 ploy.
Michelle Obama saw a big decline moving from 20.4X to 21.3X. That is a new low for her, but she remains in 6th place. She was at 12.1X and in 4th place at the end of 2016. This drop comes despite her leading a recent survey of Democratic primary voters.