Category Archives: 2020 Weekly Odds

2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, Rubio 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020

Trump’s Odds Rebound; Sanders Jumps Harris for Second Place; Biden up on Poll; Rubio Caught in Middle of Gun Debate

After a small drop the prior week, Donald Trump’s odds rebounded  from 2.79X to 2.77X, which is the same as two weeks ago and the highest since the middle of March ’17.  They are still a bit away from the 2.41X high achieved on 1/7/17.

Bernie Sanders’ odds have been rising quietly over the last 5 weeks.  This week they increased from 12.5X to 11.9X.  That was enough for him to jump Kamala Harris (12.4X) for second place overall.  Harris had held that spot for four weeks after jumping over Elizabeth Warren.

A poll was released showing Joe Biden ahead of Trump 56 to 39 in a 2020 match-up. That was enough for his odds to move up for the second straight week, this time from 16.8X to 16.1X.  He was at 20.0X the beginning of March.

Marco Rubio is stuck in the middle of the gun debate and that has not helped his odds which dropped for the second straight week.  This time the drop was from 50.2X to 54.5X.  He was at 47.9X two weeks ago.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

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2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, Trump 2020, Warren 2020, Zuckerberg 2020

Trump’s Odds See Slight Decline After Hot Streak; Warren’s Odds Rebound; Biden’s Odds up on War of Words with Trump; Facebook News Hurts Zuckerberg’s Odds

After 15 straight weeks of improvement, Donald Trump’s odds took a break.  His payout increased from 2.77X to 2.79X.  These are still significantly better odds from the 3.29X he had before the start of the streak.  Trump has higher odds than the next four candidates combined.

Last week, Elizabeth Warren announced she is not running.  Her odds took a hit from 13.3X to 15.5X.   A week later, her odds rebounded to 13.4X which was enough for her to jump into 4th place.  She was in 3rd two weeks ago, ahead of Bernie Sanders.

Joe Biden hasn’t ruled out running in 2020 and this week engaged in a war of words with Trump. Could this be a preview of what is to come in 2020? Biden’s odds improved from 18.5X to 16.8X.  These are the top odds he has had this election cycle.

Controversy with Facebook and its handling of user privacy hit Mark Zuckerberg’s chances for 2020.  His odds moved from 27.7X to 31.0X.  These are his worst odds since May of 2017.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

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2020 Weekly Odds, Clooney 2020, Garcetti 2020, Oprah 2020, Trump 2020

Trump Stars at CPAC and Sees Small Gain in Odds; Oprah “Definitely not” running; Garcetti Visits South Carolina; Clooney Sparks 2020 Speculation after Gun Control Donation

Donald Trump’s odds continued to improve this week as it has become more and more clear there will not be a realistic challenger on the right.  The President spoke at CPAC  and received 93% approval according to attendees of the conservative conference.   His payout decreased from 3.03X to 3.02X, the lowest in 32 weeks.

Oprah’s odds improved despite her telling Jimmy Kimmel she is “definitely not” running in 2020. The payout decreased from 25.2X to 23.1X. her highest in 5 weeks, when she initially denied she would run.  She continues to be in 8th place overall.

Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti  paid a visit to South Carolina, an important 2020 primary state.  He improved from 40th place to 36th place.  His payout dropped from 73.4X to 66.5X, his highest in 8 weeks.

George Clooney ‘s donation to the gun-control march sparked speculation on whether he will run in 2020. He moved from 47th place to 41st place as his payout dropped from 83.8X to 74.1X.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

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