Donald Trump’s odds saw a slight improvement from three weeks ago improving from 1.97X to 1.92X. They are still off their highs of 1.59X last achieved on 2/22, a week before Biden’s South Carolina win. Trump’s approval rating is basically at all time highs, so the odds near all time highs should not be a surprise.

Joe Biden saw a small drop from 2.12X to 2.25X, but that is still his second highest odds. The implied odds between the two are 54% Trump, 46% Biden.

Bernie Sanders’ odds saw a small drop from 32.0X to 33.6X. There are his lowest odds since the end of 2016.

The most interesting change in the odds came with a “Draft Cuomo 2020” movment. Andrew Cuomo was last in our odds on 2/8 at 519.2X. With COVID-19 his profile has increased and his odds have now jumped to 29.0X (inexplicably ahead of Sanders). This is the highest he has been since April 2017!

Below are the odds. We will go back to looking at the state polls again next week.

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