Donald Trump’s odds seem to have settled around a new high at 2.18X. He has been at these odds the last three weeks. They are roughly 50% higher than his low at 3.46X back in Sept 2017.

Although the primaries have not even started, the past few weeks have made the election seem like a contest between Trump and Biden. Trump says he sees parallels between his 2016 candidacy and Biden’s in 2020. Biden’s odds continued improving, moving from 6.26X last week to 6.11X, another new high for anyone not named Trump. He has now improved the last 4 weeks.

Bill Weld has been ignored as a primary challenger to Trump. His odds have been improving the last couple of weeks jumping from 181.7X and 61st place three weeks ago, to 132.8X and 26th place, to this week’s 119.2X and 20th place. He passed fellow Republican and Trump critic John Kasich with this latest improvement.

Michael Bennet has been in the race for only a week, but he’s already being attacked from his left. Could the attack ads help position him as a moderate? His odds improved during the week from 152.6X and 35th place to 130.3X and 24th place. These are his best odds in 6 weeks.

Below is the list of 65 candidates with a better than 200 to 1 shot:

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