Trump’s Odds Climb on State of Union Speech; Joe Kennedy Rises on Response; Pence Drops on Rumor; Newsom Continues Hot Streak

Donald Trump’s Odds saw a significant increase in his odds, likely a result of his State of the Union address.  His payout dropped from last week’s 3.28X to this week’s 3.06X. These are the best odds he has had since 7/22 when it was 3.03X. His best odds this cycle were on 1/7  when he was at 2.41X.

Joseph Kennedy III delivered the Democratic response to Trump, and that increased his profile.  He was “introduced” to a more mainstream audience through many media outlets prior to and after the speech including this article from Cosmo. In two weeks he has gone from 20th place and a payout of 47X to the current 14th place and 31.3X

Mike Pence’s odds took a big hit as his payout increased from 10.8X to 12.0X. These are the worst odds he has had since the election. This was perhaps the result of a fake rumor that he will not be running as Trump’s VP in 2020. He remains second overall, as the presumed Republican choice should Trump not make it through his term or choose not to run in 2020.

Gavin Newsom remained the hottest candidate.  The Lt. Governor of CA , has announced he will be running for Governor.  There is a lot of buzz about him seeking a higher office, perhaps spread by his opponents for CA Governor.  His odds have improved this week to  24.3X from 25.3X last week, moving him from 9th place overall to 8th place.  He has seen his odds improve in 8 of the last 9 weeks.  He was in 22nd place at 50.8X before the hot streak began.

Here are the full odds:

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