Kamala Harris continued to lead and saw no change in her odds at 4.61X. She has been at 4.60X or 4.61X the last 5 weeks.
Joe Biden remained in second with a small improvement from 5.55X to 5.54X, a second straight small improvement. The odds suggest Harris has about a 20% higher chance of winning than Biden.
Donald Trump improved for a fourth straight week this time from 7.90X to 7.47X. These are his best odds since the weekend before the insurrection when he was at 7.33X. His best odds of this cycle were at 7.11X in mid December.
The two biggest improvements came as a result of CPAC:
Ron DeSantis kept his hot streak improving from 27.1X to 23.4X. Over the last 5 weeks he has improved from 24th place (56.8X) to 7th place.
Kristi Noem was the other breakout from CPAC and her odds improved from 104.0X and 56th place to 56.9X and 24th place.
Very little change for both Harris and Biden this week. Harris continued to lead after a small drop from 4.60X to 4.61X. Harris has been at either 4.60X or 4.61X each of the last four weeks.
Biden saw a small increase from 5.57X to 5.55X. These are his second lowest odds, aside from last week, in the last 15 weeks.
Donald Trump’s odds improved for a 3rd straight week, this time from 8.63X to 7.90X. The former President is the headliner this week at CPAC. These are his best odds over the last 8 weeks.
The cold/electric grid challenges in Texas seem to have brought Beto ORourke’s odds to life for the first time for the 2024 cycle. The once top 5 2020 candidate’s odds jumped from 68.1X to 52.0X. This pushed him from 36th overall to 22nd place.
Kamala Harris’ odds remained flat to last week at 4.60X while Joe Biden saw a moderate drop from 5.43X to 5.57X. That is Biden’s lowest since mid November and second lowest of the cycle. It also gives Harris her biggest lead over Biden since that same time period.
Donald Trump’s odds saw a jump in 3rd place after his acquittal in the impeachment trial last week from 9.18X to 8.63X. These are his highest since the week before the insurrection. His best odds were 7.11X back in mid December.
The biggest move on the week was Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. He’s being criticized by the Democrats for his handling of the Coronavirus, and many Republicans are coming to his defense and in so doing, increasing his profile for 2024. His odds Jumped from 42.2X to 28.2X and up from 14th place to 8th place. Just 4 weeks ago, he was in 27th place with 60.9X odds.
