Category Archives: Trump 2020

Trump’s Odds Remain Steady; Zuckerberg Continues to be Hottest Name; Kasich and Franken Improve on the Back of Opposition to Healthcare Bill

For the sixth straight week Donald Trump’s odds have remained at 3.0X.  The odds continue to be as high as the next four competitors combined.

Mark Zuckerberg continued to be the hottest name.  His payout this week dropped from 27.4X to 24.6X.  It was at 32.7X at the end of May and 107.3X at the time of the inauguration in January.  This week’s change was enough to move him from 10th place to 9th place jumping over Paul Ryan.

John Kasich had a good week as he spoke out against the Senate healthcare bill.  He’s stayed in opposition to Trump’s agenda from the time of the primaries.  He moved from 28th place to 27th place as his payout dropped from 57.0X to 53.0X. Kasich has jumped around between 27th and 28th place the last 14 weeks.

Al Franken has been increasing his profile speaking out on healthcare and promoting his book.  His payout dropped from 71.7X to 61.7X.  He was at 71.7X for 9 weeks. This was enough to move from 34th to 29th place.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 670

Little Change in Trump’s Odds; Sanders and Zuckerberg Continue to Improve; Ryan’s Odds Jump

For the 5th straight week, the payout for putting money on Trump remains at 3.0X.  At 20.6%, he continues to have the same odds as the next four competitors combined.

Bernie Sanders’ odds once again improved as he continues to increase his profile. He did so this week with appearances attacking the Senate healthcare bill.    For the second straight week he remains in 5th place with his payout once again dropping from last week’s 22.1X to 20.8X.  This is the lowest payout (highest odds) he has been at this election cycle.  Just 3 weeks ago he was at 23.6X.

Paul Ryan’s odds improved without much news behind it.  His payout dropped from 27.3X to 25.9X.  It had been in a range between 26.9X and 27.7X for 9 straight weeks.  He remains in 9th place, and third among the Republicans.

One of the hottest names continues to be Mark Zuckerberg.  This week, he visited Iowa, an important state politically for anyone running for President, as part of his tour of the US. Zuckerberg also made some news changing the mission of Facebook  His payout drops from 29.1X to 27.4X.  This a new high in this election cycle and he continues to be in 10th place.  Zuckerberg joined the odds in the middle of January in 50th place at a payout of 107.3X.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 736

Updated Election Odds: Little Change in Trump Odds; Bernie Sanders Up to 5th on Hot Streak; Kamala Harris and Romney Move Up

There was very little change in Donald Trump’s odds this week despite reports indicating he is personally under investigation by the special counsel.  The payout remained at 3.0X  for the fourth week in a row and his probability dropped slightly from 20.8% to 20.7%.

Bernie Sanders saw a big jump moving from a payout of 22.6X to 22.1X.  That was enough for him to jump into 5th place from 7th. Sanders has been hot having his payout decrease in each of the last 7 weeks.

Kamala Harris has seen her profile increase with the hearings and her odds have followed. Her payout has dropped from 33.3X to 31.9X.  That was enough for her to move up to 12th place from 13th place.

Mitt Romney was a name from the past that resurfaced this past week on the back of Joe Biden encouraging him to run for Senate.  His payout was at 67.0X for the last 21 weeks, but improved this week to 61.7X.  This moved him up from 30th place to 29th place.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 780