Category Archives: Trump 2020

Trump’s Odds Flat to Last Week even with the Release of Fire and Fury; Gillibrand Jumps into Top 10; Newsom Continues Hot Streak; Romney Odds Show Signs of Life on Senate Speculation

Donald Trump’s odds stayed flat to last week even as the controversial behind the scenes book Fire and Fury was released on Friday.  The payout continued to be at 3.28X and has now been between 3.25X and 3.30X for the last 11 weeks.

The hot name continued to be Kirsten Gillibrand. Speculation that the Senator is running has been increasing as she takes actions that would earn her favor with the left wing of the party. Her payout is now at 27.6X down from last week’s 33.8X.  That was enough to move her from 12th place to 10th place.  Her payout was at 45.8X and she was in 19th place 5 weeks ago before calling for the resignations of Senator Franken and President Trump due to sexual allegations.

Another name that has been improving the last few weeks is Gavin Newsom.  The current Lt. Governor of CA has a payout of 32.2X and moved up from 13th place to 12th place.  Five weeks ago he was at 50.8X and in 22nd place.  This week he took shots at Trump’s decision to open up offshore oil exploration.

Mitt Romney saw an improvement in odds this week as his payout decreased from 65.5X to 62.2X and he moved up from 36th place to 32nd place.  Orrin Hatch decided not to run for re-election in Utah opening up an opportunity for Romney to get back into politics in the Senate in 2018 and possibly challenge Trump in a primary in 2020.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 720

Trump’s Odds See a Small Improvement; Poll Showing Cuban Ahead of Trump in Texas Improves his Odds; Cruz’s Odds Improve on Speculation he May Primary Trump; LA Mayor Garcetti Admits Considering a Run

Donald Trump’s odds saw a small improvement with the payout moving from 3.30X to 3.28X, exactly where it was two weeks ago.  It has been between 3.25X and 3.30X for the last 10 weeks and it’s little under the combined odds of his next four competitors combined.

Mark Cuban saw a slight bump from a poll released showing he leads Trump head to head in Texas for President. The payout for putting money on Cuban improved from 55.9X to 54.3X.  That is the best he has been since July.  He is in 29th place overall.

Close to Cuban’s odds are the odds for Ted Cruz.  His payout improved from 62.0X to 60.5X which is good enough for 32nd place.  He’s thought to be one of the most likely Republicans to primary Trump should Trump be hurt by the midterms or should the Russia probe result in anything substantial.

There is not a lack of Democratic candidates that seem to be popping up in California.  The flavor of the week this week is Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti.  His payout improved from 70.5X to 63.0X.  That was enough to move him from 38th place to 34th place.  That is the highest he has been and came on the heels of Garcetti admitting he is considering a run to Univision.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 766

Donald Trump Sees Small Dip in Odds; Sanders Reaches New High; Gillibrand Continues Hot Streak; Newsom Making Waves

Donald Trump’s odds saw a slight drop as his payout increased from 3.28X to 3.30X.  These are his lowest odds in five weeks. He remains more than three times as likely as the next competitor.

Bernie Sanders’ odds improved as his payout dropped from 18.0X to 16.9X.  Although Sanders remains in fifth place overall, these are the best odds he has had this entire cycle.

The hottest name of the last few weeks continued to be Kirsten Gillibrand.  The Senator from NY has seen an improvement for three straight weeks driven by her stance against sexual assault.  Her payout dropped this week from 36.4X to 33.3X.  She was at 47.7X just four weeks ago.

One unknown that made a move is Gavin Newsom.  The 50 year old Democrat is currently the Lt. Governor of CA.  Prior to that he was the mayor of SF.  A recent poll shows him as the leader to become the governor of CA in 2018. Newsom’s payout was at 50.8X two weeks ago and has since improved to 37.1X.  That has allowed him to jump up from 22nd place to 14th place.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 823