Category Archives: Kasich 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Booker 2020, Harris 2020, Kasich 2020, Trump 2020

Trump’s Lead Continues Slow Decline; Clinton Back in Top 10; Kasich up on NH Poll; Booker Down

Donald Trump’s odds saw a slight decline for the 4th straight week. His payout increased from 3.15X to 3.20X.  This is the lowest odds this election cycle.  It was at 2.98X four weeks ago.  The probability of him winning (19.3%) is still nearly as high as the next four challengers combined (20.1%)

Cory Booker saw a big drop  with the payout increasing from 22.2X to 24.6X.  That was enough to drop him to 8th place.  This is the lowest he has been at.  Kamala Harris seems to have stolen Booker’s thunder.  Booker started the election cycle in 5th place with a payout of only 19.6X.

Hillary Clinton saw improvement in her odds this week as they moved from 26.6X to 25.4X. That was enough to move her from 11th place to 9th place.  She has been as high as 5th place from late January to early May.

The biggest move up was John Kasich.  His odds moved from 59.6X to 49.7X. Those are his best odds of the cycle.  This moved him from 28th place to 26th place.  The improvement maybe the result of a poll of GOP NH primary voters came out showing they would prefer Kasich over Trump. 

Here is a full list of odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

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2020 Weekly Odds, Franken 2020, Kasich 2020, Trump 2020, Zuckerberg 2020

Trump’s Odds Remain Steady; Zuckerberg Continues to be Hottest Name; Kasich and Franken Improve on the Back of Opposition to Healthcare Bill

For the sixth straight week Donald Trump’s odds have remained at 3.0X.  The odds continue to be as high as the next four competitors combined.

Mark Zuckerberg continued to be the hottest name.  His payout this week dropped from 27.4X to 24.6X.  It was at 32.7X at the end of May and 107.3X at the time of the inauguration in January.  This week’s change was enough to move him from 10th place to 9th place jumping over Paul Ryan.

John Kasich had a good week as he spoke out against the Senate healthcare bill.  He’s stayed in opposition to Trump’s agenda from the time of the primaries.  He moved from 28th place to 27th place as his payout dropped from 57.0X to 53.0X. Kasich has jumped around between 27th and 28th place the last 14 weeks.

Al Franken has been increasing his profile speaking out on healthcare and promoting his book.  His payout dropped from 71.7X to 61.7X.  He was at 71.7X for 9 weeks. This was enough to move from 34th to 29th place.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

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