Category Archives: Johnson 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Clinton 2020, Johnson 2020, Klobuchar 2020, Trump 2020

Trump’s Odds Continue Slow Decline; Clinton’s Book Publicity Hurting her Odds; Speculation about “The Rock” Continues; Klobuchar Increases Profile

Trump’s odds continued their slow decline as his payout increased from 3.39X to 3.46X.  This is the 8th straight week of increases.  His payout 8 weeks ago stood at 2.98X.  The probability of Trump being reelected is now at 17.5%, still higher than the next three candidates combined.

Hillary Clinton continued to be in the headlines as publicity of her book increased.  What also increased is calls from some Democrats to move on.  That has taken a toll on her odds the last few weeks.  Her payout is now at 30.4X down from 24.6X just 6 weeks ago and from its peak of 20.6X in March. The odds suggest a probability of just 2%.

One person who has momentum from Democratic voters is Amy Klobuchar.  Her profile continues to increase as she denies she has any interest in running.  Her payout is now down to 41.2X and she is in 18th place up from last week’s 20th place.

Speculation of Dwayne Johnson running continues every week since the topic first came up on the Tonight Show back in May.  The latest is from former colleague/wrestler Chris Jericho saying he has “no doubt’ that Johnson will run.  His payout decreased this week from 27.6X to 26.6X and he is currently in 10th place ahead of the likes of Hillary Clinton and Paul Ryan.

Here are the full odds:

 

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

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2020 Weekly Odds, Harris 2020, Johnson 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020

Donald Trump’s Odds See a Slight Decline; Kamala Harris Jumps to 6th Place as She Attracts Donors; Dwayne Johnson up into Top 10; Sanders Improves but Still in 5th Place

Donald Trump’s odds took a slight hit this week as his Chief of Staff resigned/was fired.  His payout moved up from 3.0X to 3.1X.  That is the lowest odds in 10 weeks.  His probability drops from 20.4% to 19.7%.  His odds remain about 3 times his next competitor, his VP Mike Pence, who is at 8.6X.

The hottest name remains Kamala Harris.  She continued to meet with influential Democratic fundraisers including many formerly associated with Clinton. Her payout dropped from 25.2X to 19.6X.  That was enough to move her from 10th place to 6th place.  A mere 5 weeks ago she was in 12th place at a payout of 30.9X.

Another hot name has been Dwayne Johnson.  In a week with no 2020 news about him, he jumped from 13th place to 8th place with his payout dropping from 31X to 24X.   It’s common to see jumps like this when there are very few sites with odds on someone.  That is not the case here.  This is based on 9 different odds makers.

Reports of Bernie Sanders likely running helped his odds as his payout declined from 19.9X to 18.6X.  He remains in 5th place.  This matches the best odds he has had, which previously came at the beginning of July.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 652

2020 Weekly Odds, Johnson 2020, Pence 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020

Trump Steady Despite Trump Jr. Emails; Dwayne Johnson Regains Momentum with Launch of Election Committee; Pence up, Sanders down

 

Despite last week’s continuing saga of Donald Trump Jr./Russian meeting emails, Donald Trump’s odds remained steady for the 8th straight week at 3.0X.  His odds are nearly three times that of his next opponent who happens to be his VP, Mike Pence.

Mike Pence’s odds got a boost on the week with the payout dropping from 8.7X to 8.5X.  That is his highest in four weeks.  Some took the fact that he has remained low key with his response to the emails as him hedging his bet and positioning himself to potentially become President.

Bernie Sanders had one of the biggest drops.  He had been hot lately with his opposition to the Republican healthcare bills.  His payout had steadily declined from 23.9X in the middle of May to last week’s 18.6X.  That suddenly reversed this week to 19.4X.  When asked this week about running in 2020, he said ‘I am not taking it off the table’  One reason for the drop could be a federal probe into a land deal his wife was involved in. He remains in 5th overall and 3rd as far as Democrats behind Warren and Obama.

Eight weeks ago, the hottest name was actor Dwayne Johnson.  Following an appearance on the Tonight Show, he jumped from 41st place in the middle of May to 16th place in the span of two weeks.  He has then held steady. This week a campaign committee was started on his behalf. His payout dropped from 42.7X to 31.0X.  This was enough to move him from 21st to 13th place.

Here is a list of all the odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

Views – 753