Category Archives: Gowdy 2020

Updated 2020 Odds: Trump Continues to Have Significant Lead; Warren and Clinton Improve Odds; Trey Gowdy Makes Debut in 12th Place

Donald Trump maintained his healthy lead coming in at a probability of 27.2% while the next five candidates combined were at 25.8%.  Currently the average payout for betting on Trump is 2.6 to 1.

There was no movement in the top 6 candidates although Elizabeth Warren, who is in 3rd behind Mike Pence, improved her probabilty from 6.0% to 6.3%.  Every $1 bet her could potentially yield $11.1.

Hillary Clinton moved from 9th place to 7th place, the highest she has been.  Her payout is at 25.7 to 1.

There was one addition to the board with Trey Gowdy making his debut in 12th place with a payout of 29 to 1.  The South Carolina Republican Rep. seems to be increasing his profile and positioning himself as leading congressional oversight of Trump’s administration.

The betting odds overall got a bit more competitive between the different oddsmakers as evidenced  by Trump’s payout moving from an average of 2.5 to 1 last week to 2.6 to 1.  That should have meant his probability (as computed by combining with all other payouts) should have decreased.  Instead it increased from 26.6% to 27.2%.

Here are the full odds:

2020-election-odds-12-17-16

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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