Category Archives: Cuomo 2020

Updated 2020 Odds: Donald Trump’s Odds as High as Next 5 Candidates; Clinton into top 10; Rice, Paul, Murphy Added to List

The top 6 remained unchanged with Donald Trump having higher odds than the next five candidates combined.  Donald Trump came in at 26.5% probability which was flat to last week.  He was followed by Mike Pence, Elizabeth Warren, Michelle Obama, Cory Booker, and Tim Kaine.  All five had a small decrease in odds as more names got added to the list.

Hillary Clinton was the biggest mover as she improved from 11th place to 8th place.

The big falls came from fellow Democrats Andrew Cuomo who went from 7th place to 10th place and Bernie Sanders who dropped from 9th place to 11th place.

Three additions came in at the same odds tied for 23rd place:

  • former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice
  • Republican Senator from KY Rand Paul
  • Democractic Senator from CT Chris Murphy

Here are the full odds:

2020-election-odds-12-3-16

 

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Views – 790

Updated 2020 Odds: Trump Continues Big Lead; Andrew Cuomo and Paul Ryan Jump into Top 10

11 new names were added to the odds to get to 39 in total.  Mathematically, this addition caused the odds for most candidates to drop (total needs to be 100%). For example, Donald Trump continues to lead but dropped from 30.0% to 26.5%.  He would have been flat without the additions.

Trump has higher odds than the next four competitors combined: Mike Pence, Elizabeth Warren, Michelle Obama, and Cory Booker.

There were two new entries into the top 10.  Andrew Cuomo, the governor of NY, moves from 9th to 7th place.  Paul Ryan, the Speaker of the House, moves from 12th place to 10th place.

A few of the big names that got added this week were:

  • Kamala Harris, who just got elected to the Senate out of CA in 16th place
  • Kirsten Gillibrand, the Senator from NY in 17th place
  • Mark Cuban, the billionaire businessman in 20th place
  • Mitt Romney, who may be named Secretary of State, in 23rd place

Here are the full odds:

election-odds-11-26-2016

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Views – 843