Donald Trump’s odds continued their slow decline, moving from 20.7% to 20.5%, his lowest since the election. His payout increases from 3.0X to 3.1X. He still has as much probability as the next four candidates.
Hillary Clinton lost her bump from last week when she “resurfaced” in the media. She drops to 6th place falling behind Cory Booker. Her payout increased from 22.0x to 22.8X, the highest payout (or lowest probability) since the beginning of January.
The drop with Clinton seemed to give another well known Democrat, Joe Biden, a bump. He hops over Paul Ryan for 8th place. His payout drops from 28.5X to 26.3X. This is the lowest payout all year.
The hottest name continues to be Mark Zuckerberg. He moves from 13th place to 11th place. His payout drops from 33.9X to 32.1X. Zuckerberg has been up in 10 of the last 13 weeks. He continues to move up since he made his debut in January in 50th place at a payout of 107X.
Donald Trump’s odds continued their slow decline, moving from 21.3% to 20.7%, his lowest since the election. His payout remains at 3.0X. (3.03X compared to 2.95X last week). He still has as much probability as the next four candidates.
Hillary Clinton resurfaced this week blaming her loss on the Russian hack and news of the FBI investigation. She made it clear she is part of the “resistance”. She remained in 5th place with a slight increase in odds. Her payout drops from 22.4X to 22.0X.
Amy Klobuchar was in Iowa this week fueling speculation of a 2020 run. She is in 15th place. Her payout dropped from 36.2X to 34.3X.
The biggest winner of the week was Mark Zuckerberg. He moves from 16th place to 13th place. His payout drops from 37.8X to 33.9X. Zuckerberg has been up in 9 of the last 12 weeks. He continues to move up since he made his debut in January in 50th place at a payout of 107X.
Donald Trump continued to have a large lead (nearly 4 times the probability of Elizabeth Warren, the closest Democrat to him). That lead continues to shrink however. His probability is down from 22.2% last week to 21.6% this week. It peaked just before the inauguration at 26.9%. $1 on Trump currently pays out an average of $2.9.
On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton seemed to be raising her profile a bit this past week with some public statements. That did not help her odds. Her payout increased from 21.4X to 21.9X. Her odds were highest 4 weeks ago when the payout was at 20.6X. She remains in 5th place.
Cory Booker rebounded from his drop last week. He jumps over Bernie Sanders for 6th place as his payout decreased from 23.1X to 22.9X.
The biggest mover of the week was Nikki Haley whose profile increased with her speech in the U.N on Syria. Her payoff dropped from 64.5X to 56.3X. That was enough to move her from 27th place to 24th place.
