Category Archives: Castro 2020

Pence’s Odds Drop as Trump’s Improve; Sanders Sees Big Jump; Castro Announces Interest in Running

For the second straight week, Mike Pence’s odds dropped.  This time the payout went from 12.0X to 12.5X.  That was another new low for the VP.  The change in odds was enough to drop him behind Elizabeth Warren and into 3rd place.

Pence’s drop once again helped Donald Trump.  His odds improved for the third week in a row as his payout moved from 3.06X to 3.04X, his best odds since 7/22.  His odds are now more than 4 times better than his next competitor: Elizabeth Warren.

Bernie Sanders had a big improvement in odds.  His payout moved from 16.3X to 14.7X.  That was not enough for him to move from his 5th place spot.  His recent activity on social media has many speculating on a run. 

Julian Castro stated “I have every interest in running” for president, to NBC News.  Interestingly, he saw a drop in odds from a payout of 42.5X to 44.5X.  That was enough for him to slide from 18th place to 24th place.

Here are the full odds:

For updates please follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds

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Updated Election Odds: Trump’s Large Odds See a Small Decline; Warren and Castro’s Odds Improve; Oprah Moves Up to 20th Place

After a small bounce last week, Donald Trump’s odds resumed their slow decline.  His odds are still the highest at 21.3%, but down from 21.6% last week and the lowest since his election.  The payout is back up to 3.0X from 2.9X.

Elizabeth Warren continued to be the top Democrat and in 3rd place overall.  Her odds increased to 6.1% as her payoff dropped from 10.6X to 10.4X.  This is the highest she has been since the middle of March.

Julian Castro was another Democrat that saw an increase.  He moved from 14th place to 13th place with his payout dropping from 35.1X to 33.6X.  This is the lowest payout (best odds) he has been since the beginning of March.

Oprah Winfrey also saw a jump this week.  She moved from 22nd place to 20th place as her payout dropped from 48.8X to 42.0X.  These are the best odds she has had since making her debut in the middle of March with a payout of 58.3X.

Here are the full odds:

For updated please follow me at @2016ElectOdds

 

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