Category Archives: Brown 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Bloomberg 2020, Brown 2020, Clinton 2020, Harris 2020, Hickenlooper 2020, Merkley 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020, Uncategorized

Trump’s odds improve to best in 9 weeks; Sanders remains hot name, reaches new high; Hickenlooper officially announces, quickly raises money; Four high profile candidates officially out

Trump’s odds improved from 2.91X to 2.86X. Although this may not seem like a big improvement, it’s the best odds he has had in 9 weeks. To keep things in perspective, his high for the cycle is 2.31X in August 2018.

Bernie Sanders is currently the hot candidate on the left. He jumped up from 9.18X to 7.06X, a new high for him. This was enough to have him jump the yet undecided Joe Biden (8.39X) for 3rd place. He is just behind Kamala Harris (6.73X) for the Democratic lead. Sanders signed the “Democratic Loyalty Pledge” this week.

John Hickenlooper officially announced his candidacy on Monday and his odds jumped from 73.6X to 66.4X. That was enough for him tomove from 21st place to 14th place. He became the fourth Democrat to raise over $1 million within hours of his announcement.

A few top names officially announced they are NOT running:

Here are the full odds:

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2020 Weekly Odds, Brown 2020, Castro 2020, Gabbard 2020, Harris 2020, Trump 2020

Donald Trump’s odds see small drop as shutdown enters third week; Kamala Harris’ odds reach new highs as she begins book tour; Castro and Gabbard announce intentions to run; Sherrod Brown visiting early voting states

For the 9th straight week, Donald Trump’s odds declined, this week from 2.86X to 2.88X. He is now at his lowest odds since the end of February. The government shutdown entered its third week, and it seems to have taken a toll on his odds as well as approval. His net approval dropped this week to -13% from -12% last week and -10% at the start of the shutdown.

Kamala Harris is in the midst of her book tour and some see that as the soft launch to her 2020 campaign. Her odds reached a new high improving from 7.79X to 7.42X as she continues to be the odds favorite for the Democrats. Speculation is she will be announcing soon.

Sherrod Brown continues to move up, improving this week from 28.9X to 26.3X, a new high for him. He is now in 8th place overall. He is planning a trip to Iowa and other early voting states.

Julian Castro became the latest to announce he is running in 2020. His odds improved from 75.3X to 71.1X as he moves up from 23rd place to 19th place. His odds may not fully reflect the announcement as it comes on Saturday morning. The same could be said of Tulsi Gabbard who announced on Friday Her odds saw a slight improvement from 35.6X to 33.0X moving her from 13th place to 11th place.

Here are the full odds:

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2020 Weekly Odds, Brown 2020, Castro 2020, Clinton 2020, Trump 2020

Trump sees small dip in odds; Democrats split on whether Clinton should run again; Sherrod Brown’s post election momentum continues; Julian Castro not wasting any timing in courting donors and staff

Donald Trump’s Odds dipped slightly this past week from 2.43X to 2.49X.  That is in line with his average over the last three months of 2.50X.  He remains more than three times as likely to get elected as his next closest competitor.

A former Hillary Clinton adviser wrote a WSJ op-ed that Clinton will run again in 2020.  That possibility seems to have split Democrats, as pleads for her not to run also sprung up. The mere possibility of another run did help her odds jump from 58.8X to 51.9X .  This moved her from 18th place to 15th.  This is the highest position she’s been in since late January.

We mentioned last week the big winner coming out of the election (aside from O’Rourke’s crazy jump in odds following his loss) appeared to be OH Senator Sherrod Brown.  His hot streak continued as his odds improved once again from 54.7X to 43.5X.  He is now in 13th place overall, and his betting odds are the highest they’ve been since September ’17.

Julian Castro is wasting no time in his preparations for a 2020 run, as he began courting both donors and staff. His odds jumped from 84.3X to 71.7X moving him from 30th place to 23rd, his highest since August.

Here are the full odds:

For updates follow me on twitter

Views – 671