Category Archives: Brown 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Brown 2020, ORourke 2020, Trump 2020, Warren 2020

Trump’s Odds Improve Despite Gains for the Democrats on Election Night; Sherrod Brown the Big Winner on Election Night and in the Odds; Beto’s Odds Skyrocket Despite Defeat while Warren’s Drop After her Reelection

There were many changes in the odds post the midterm elections.

Despite the Democratic gains in the House and many thinking the elections were more about Trump than the Republicans,  Donald Trump’s odds still improved from the prior week.  His odds rose from 2.50X to 2.43X.  That is the 3rd straight week of gains and his highest odds in 11 weeks.

Perhaps the biggest winner on Tuesday night was Ohio Senator Sherrod Brown.  The swing from Trump’s Ohio victory to Brown’s victory this year was an impressive 14.5%. His odds jumped from 78.9X to 54.7X and he moved from 33rd place to 15th place.

Elizabeth Warren’s odds dropped dramatically from 11.5X to 14.1X.  These are her worst odds in 15 weeks.  Warren won reelection to her second term rather easily and said it’s too early to decide about 2020.

Beto ORourke lost his Senate race to Ted Cruz on Tuesday but his odds skyrocketed from 21.4X to 11.2X.  That was enough to lift him to third place overall behind just Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.  His closer than expected loss on Tuesday fueled optimism from his admirers that he will run.

Here are the full odds:

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2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, Brown 2020, Gabbard 2020, Haley 2020, Kaine 2020, Rubio 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020

Updated Election Odds: Trump Continues Large Lead; Sanders, Haley move Up; Kaine, Biden, Rubio Down; Brown, Gabbard Debut

Donald Trump continued to dominate the odds having as much probability as the next six candidates combined.  The payoff for placing a bet on Trump remained the same at 2.4X.

Biggest Movers up:

  • Bernie Sanders: 11th place from 18th as payoff dropped from 33.9x to 28.3x
  • Nikki Haley: 31st place to 20th place as payoff dropped from 77.3X to 40.7X

Biggest Movers down:

  • Tim Kaine: 13th place from 8th place as payoff increased from 22.6x to 29.6x
  • Joe Biden: 14th place from 10th place as payoff increased from 23.1x to 30.0x
  • Marco Rubio: 21st place from 15th place as payoff increased from 30.0x to 41.4x

Debuts:

  • Sherrod Brown: D Senator from OH at 16th place with 34.0X
  • Tulsi Gabbard: D Rep from HI at 22nd place with 51.0X
  • Leonardo DiCaprio: Actor 36th place with 81.0X
  • Sarah Palin: former R Gov of AK 40th place with 101X
  • Dwayne Johnson: Actor 40th place with 101X

 

Here are the full odds:

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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