There was very little change in the odds this week. In fact the top four have been the same since I started tracking the new odds two weeks after the elections.
Donald Trump continues to lead at 26.5% and a payout of 2.4 to 1. The payout has stabilized at 2.4, after starting out at 2.6.
The next three include Mike Pence at 8.8 to 1, Elizabeth Warren at 10.8 to 1, and Michelle Obama at 13.1 to 1.
Cory Booker has been a fairly consistent number 5 with a current payout of 23.7 to 1 and Hillary Clinton has ranged between 11th and her current 6th place at 25 to 1.
Donald Trump continued to dominate the odds having as much probability as the next six candidates combined. The payoff for placing a bet on Trump remained the same at 2.4X.
Biggest Movers up:
Bernie Sanders: 11th place from 18th as payoff dropped from 33.9x to 28.3x
Nikki Haley: 31st place to 20th place as payoff dropped from 77.3X to 40.7X
Biggest Movers down:
Tim Kaine: 13th place from 8th place as payoff increased from 22.6x to 29.6x
Joe Biden: 14th place from 10th place as payoff increased from 23.1x to 30.0x
Marco Rubio: 21st place from 15th place as payoff increased from 30.0x to 41.4x
Debuts:
Sherrod Brown: D Senator from OH at 16th place with 34.0X
Tulsi Gabbard: D Rep from HI at 22nd place with 51.0X
Leonardo DiCaprio: Actor 36th place with 81.0X
Sarah Palin: former R Gov of AK 40th place with 101X
Donald Trump continued to have over a 1 in 4 chance of winning at 25.6%. The payout for betting on Trump dropped once again to 2.4x from 2.5x last week and 2.6 the week prior.
The biggest mover was Kirsten Gillibrand. The Democratic Senator from NY moved from 18th place to 12th place as her odds increased from 1.8% to 2.4%. Her payout plummeted from 34.3x to 26.0x. She was ranked #4 in this recent list of potential Democratic candidates.
Paul Ryan has been making steady progress as well. He started in 12th place in the initial post elections list. He moved all the way up to 6th place last week and entered the top 5 this week. His probability is now at 3.2% and his payout is down to 19.8X.
