Category Archives: 2020 Weekly Odds

Trump Reaches Another New High Despite Tough Week in Headlines; Biden Jumps over Warren; Iger Called out by Sanders; Holder Makes Odds Debut

Despite what many perceived as a bad week for the President including criticism for his meeting with Putin, Donald Trump’s odds continued to improve this time from 2.40X to 2.38X, a new all time high.   He has 5 times the odds of his next closest competitor Kamala Harris.

Joe Biden continues to be a name talked about and was mentioned as a good choice by another potential candidate, former New Orleans mayor Mitch Landrieu.  His odds improved from 14.7X to 14.3X allowing him to jump Elizabeth Warren for 4th place overall.  He has been between 14.2X and 14.7X the last 13 weeks.

Bob Iger’s odds took a big hit after the Disney CEO was called out for his pay by fellow Democrat Bernie Sanders. Iger’s odds dropped from 41.8X to 96.8X which took him from 11th place to 50th place.

Eric Holder made his debut in the odds at 73.3X which puts him in 33rd place overall.  Speculation continues that the former Obama AG will run.

Here are the full odds:

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Trump’s Odds Remain at All Time Highs; Warren Helped by Trump’s Attacks; Booker and Patrick to Visit TX

Donald Trump’s odds remained at 2.40X for the second straight week, an all time high. That is nearly 5 times the next closest competitor and 6.5 times better than the next closest Republican, Mike Pence.

Elizabeth Warren’s odds improved to 14.5X from 14.7X.  That was enough to have her jump over Joe Biden into 4th place overall.  She seems to be Trump’s favorite target, which of course helps her on the left. She had been as high as 2nd place for a few weeks back in February.

Cory Booker is considered another front runner for the Democrats.  His odds dropped slightly from 30.2X to 31.3X.  Those are his lowest odds of the cycle.  He is currently in 9th place.  He peaked at 19.6X and 5th place shortly after the 2016 election.  Regardless of the odds, his actions seem to indicate he will be running, including planning to speak at a fundraising dinner in TX in September.

Speaking of TX and Democrats, another candidate, Deval Patrick will be there campaigning for Democrats this weekend. Patrick’s odds improved this week from 54.7X to 52.5X moving him from 22nd to 21st place.  This is the highest he has been in 6 weeks.

Here are the full odds:

Views – 691

Trump’s Odds Continue to Improve; Kamala Harris Doesn’t Rule Out Running, Jumps to Second Place; Bloomberg Active In Helping Dems Capture House; Garcetti Continues to Increase Profile

Donald Trump’s odds continued to improve inching up from 2.46X to 2.45X, his highest odds since the inauguration in Jan 2017.  He has either been flat or improved the last 14 weeks.  He was at 2.79X at the start of the streak.

Kamala Harris improved from 11.8X to 11.4X.  This is a new high for her and enough of an improvement to have her jump back into second place ahead of Bernie Sanders.  Harris would not rule out running in 2020 this week when pressed for an answer during an interview.

Michael Bloomberg improved from 48.4X to 45.8X. This was enough to move him from 14th place to 13th place.  He has been on a mini hot streak moving from 21st place at the beginning of the month. Bloomberg is making sizable contributions to help the Democrats win the House in 2018.  Some think this may also be a way to set him up for a possible 2020 run.

Erica Garcetti improved from 68.1X to 67.3X and moving up from 32nd place to 31st. He was in 36th place four weeks ago.  Garcetti continued to increase his profile this week by having an in depth interview with Vox

Here are the full odds:

Views – 720