Donald Trump’s odds saw a slight drop as his payout increased from 3.28X to 3.30X. These are his lowest odds in five weeks. He remains more than three times as likely as the next competitor.
Bernie Sanders’ odds improved as his payout dropped from 18.0X to 16.9X. Although Sanders remains in fifth place overall, these are the best odds he has had this entire cycle.
The hottest name of the last few weeks continued to be Kirsten Gillibrand. The Senator from NY has seen an improvement for three straight weeks driven by her stance against sexual assault. Her payout dropped this week from 36.4X to 33.3X. She was at 47.7X just four weeks ago.
One unknown that made a move is Gavin Newsom. The 50 year old Democrat is currently the Lt. Governor of CA. Prior to that he was the mayor of SF. A recent poll shows him as the leader to become the governor of CA in 2018. Newsom’s payout was at 50.8X two weeks ago and has since improved to 37.1X. That has allowed him to jump up from 22nd place to 14th place.
Donald Trump’s odds stayed flat to last week coming in at 3.28X. He remains more than three times more likely to win the presidency as any candidate, although his odds have fallen over the last year. At this time last year, Trump was at 2.58X, or 21% more likely.
The big mover on the week was once again Kirsten Gillibrand. The Senator from NY called for the President to resign this week and the President bit the bait and took her on. That increased her profile once again and likewise her odds. This week she improved from 45.8X to 36.4X. That moved her from 18th place to 12th place.
Marco Rubio stated he will not support the tax bill without changes to the child credit. Many see this as a play to improve his odds for 2020. His odds improved from 47.1X to 42.6X. That moved him from 20th place to 19th place (4th among Republicans).
Donald Trump’s odds once again saw very little movement with the payout moving from 3.29X to 3.28X. He has been in a very tight range the last 8 weeks (3.25X to 3.35X). He remains more than three times more likely to win than the next challenger.
Mark Zuckerberg saw a slight improvement for the third straight week. He moved this week from 25.5X to 24.8X which was enough for him to move into 7th place overall. He was at 26.3X just four weeks ago.
The big news on the week was Al Franken’s resignation among sexual assault accusations. His payout increased from 49X to 58.4X. That was enough to drop him from 21st place to 28th place. He will likely drop more next week as not all sites have updated their odds. Franken was as high as 18th place just 5 weeks ago.
The straw that finally broke the camel’s back for Franken may have been fellow Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand calling for his resignation. Her odds improved with the increase in profile. Her payout decreased from 47.7X to 45.8X, which pushed her from 19th place to 18th place. She seems to be making sexual assault the focus of her career.
