Hillary Clinton continued to lead although she once again saw a drop.  Clinton is now at 60.9% down from 64.7%.  It was a tough week for her with the Inspector General releasing a report on her use of email that contradicts her position.  Clinton has now dropped for four straight weeks after peeking at the end of April at 68.4%.

Donald Trump continued to close the gap by improving his odds to 29.9% from 28.2%.  He sets another new high.  Trump has more than doubled his odds since the second week of April when he was at 14.1%.

The bad news for Clinton seems to have given Bernie Sanders some more life.  His odds improve from 3.7% to 4.1%.   That is the highest he has been in six weeks.

The surprise move in odds was driven by Joe Biden who all of a sudden jumped from 2.1% to 3.7%.  The jump is most likely driven by the Clinton troubles and speculation by Trump about the Democrats pushing Biden in should things get worse for Clinton.

Mitt Romney also saw his odds increase from 0.4% to 0.6% as some speculate about him running as a third party candidate.

Here are the current odds along with a trend of the now top four candidates:

For an updated state by state forecast of the election click here

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 875

Hillary Clinton continues to lead Donald Trump in the most recent forecast 306 to 232 although Trump continues to shrink that lead.

In under three weeks, Trump has shrunk Clinton’s lead from 108 electoral votes to 74.

Two state forecasts changed in the last few days:

• VA poll that showed a tie which lead the forecast to move the state into tossup from lean D.
• Two different NC polls showed Trump +4 after previous polls showed Clinton in the lead.  This led to the classification of the state as a tossup from lean D.

Other polls released confirmed the current forecasts:

• Two CA polls one showed Clinton +14 and one Clinton +10 confirmed CA as solid D
• NJ Poll showed Clinton +11 confirmed the state as solid D

Here is the state by state forecast:

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Click here for list of changes from prior forecasts

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Views – 889

There was very little movement in the last week as far as the current election forecast.

Trump made up one point in the forecast and Clinton’s lead is now down to 313 to 225

Most polls this past week confirmed the current forecasts:

• AZ leaning to Trump
• OH is a tossup
• Fl is leaning to Clinton (2 polls confirmed this)
• NJ is solid to Clinton

The only movement was NH moving to tossup status with a NH poll putting Clinton in front by +2.

Here is the current state by state forecast:

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Click here for list of changes from prior forecasts

Click here for results from last 5 elections

Views – 1055