Updated Weekly Odds: Clinton Continues to Have Commanding but Shrinking Lead; Trump at New High; Biden Odds up Significantly

 

Hillary Clinton continued to lead although she once again saw a drop.  Clinton is now at 60.9% down from 64.7%.  It was a tough week for her with the Inspector General releasing a report on her use of email that contradicts her position.  Clinton has now dropped for four straight weeks after peeking at the end of April at 68.4%.

Donald Trump continued to close the gap by improving his odds to 29.9% from 28.2%.  He sets another new high.  Trump has more than doubled his odds since the second week of April when he was at 14.1%.

The bad news for Clinton seems to have given Bernie Sanders some more life.  His odds improve from 3.7% to 4.1%.   That is the highest he has been in six weeks.

The surprise move in odds was driven by Joe Biden who all of a sudden jumped from 2.1% to 3.7%.  The jump is most likely driven by the Clinton troubles and speculation by Trump about the Democrats pushing Biden in should things get worse for Clinton.

Mitt Romney also saw his odds increase from 0.4% to 0.6% as some speculate about him running as a third party candidate.

Here are the current odds along with a trend of the now top four candidates:

May 28 2016 pres odds

May 28 2016 pres trend

For an updated state by state forecast of the election click here

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

 

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