Trump’s odds reach another new high; Bernie Sanders continues hot streak and is within striking distance of Biden; Bloomberg’s ad spending paying off as he jumps Warren and Buttigieg

Donald Trump’s odds reached another new high with an improvement from 1.85X to 1.82X. Over the last 7 weeks, his odds have improved from 2.27X to 1.82X, a 25% improvement. His odds against the top 5 Democrats improved slightly from 51.7% to 52.1% as the Democrats’ combined odds remained flat to last week at 1.98X.

Bernie Sanders continued to be the hottest name this week improving from 7.66X to 6.41X. This is now a new high for the Senator, beating a previous high of 6.74 reached in April 2019. Sanders currently holds the lead in a new Iowa poll. He is now within striking distance of Joe Biden who saw a drop this week from 5.51X to 5.79X.

The biggest jump on the week belonged to Michael Bloomberg. He has been spending millions on ads, and it’s starting to pay off in the polls. Bloomberg’s odds improved from 17.6X to 13.8X, a new high. Bloomberg’s improvement, combined with another bad week from both Elizabeth Warren (she dropped from 13.0X to 17.3X) and Pete Buttigieg (he dropped from 16.9X to 21.5X), allowed him to jump from 5th into 3rd place for the Democrats.

Here are the odds of the top 25 candidates and a trend of the top candidates:

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