Donald Trump’s odds dropped slightly this week from 1.86X to 1.88X, ending a 5 week streak of improvements. Even with the drop, this is still trump’s second highest week since the 2016 elections. His odds against the top 5 Democrats saw a similar decline dropping from 52.3% to 52.0% as their combined odds improved from 2.04X to 2.03X.

Joe Biden continued to solidify his odds for the Democratic nomination, improving from 6.19X to 5.98X. There are his highest odds in 6 months. It will be interesting to see if he once again becomes the target of his opponents in the next debate. The target shifts with each debate to the hottest name at the moment with Buttigieg being the last one, and Warren being the previous.

Speaking of Buttigieg, the candidate continued his recent declines, dropping this week from 14X to 15.3X. This is his lowest since the end of October. The drop was his third in a row and started after a fast surge brought him under scrutiny.

Amy Klobuchar had the largest improvement of the week, with her odds moving from 55.3X to 48.5X. She has now improved nine weeks in a row and is her best odds since mid April. She’s currently riding her debate momentum right into Iowa.

A trend of the top candidates:

A list of all candidates with a better than 200 to 1 shot:

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