Donald Trump’s odds saw a small dip from 1.90X to 1.91X. That is still the 2nd highest he has been after last week’s number. His odds against the top 5 Democrats remained basically 50%/50% as they also dropped from 1.90X to 1.92X.

Elizabeth Warren continued to be the hottest name. She improved from 7.98X to 7.53X. She has now improved in 15 of the last 16 weeks. This is another new high for Warren, and widens the formerly narrow gap she had over Kamala Harris. She is quickly making herself the alternative to Biden for the Democrats.

Bernie Sander’s continued to ride the wave after the second debate. He was up from 14.2X to 12.9X. The debate ended a downward trend for the Vermont Senator. This is his highest point in 6 weeks.

On the other end of the spectrum was Kamala Harris. Her odds dropped from 8.04X to 8.88X. She has now dropped for four straight weeks. She was at 5.57X and in 4th place the middle of July. She became the first Democrat to buy some air time in Iowa, a key early voting state.

Another candidate drifting down is Pete Buttigieg. He dropped from 18.9X to 20.9X, and has now dropped for 7 straight weeks. He was at 12.4 on 6/22. This is his lowest point since around mid March.

The one cold candidate that reversed his trend, at least for this week, is Beto O’ Rourke. After establishing an all time low last week of 83.5X (He started at 54.7X in August 2018), O’Rourke saw an increase to 65.6X, basically where he was just two weeks ago, prior to the debate. This may be a result of a higher profile with the shootings in El Paso. We’ll see next week.

Here is a list of all the candidates with better than 200 to 1 odds:

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