Big changes for the Dems as Warren’s odds overtake Biden’s; Trump sees a small drop, but still near his highs; Sanders recent hot streak puts him close to a declining Harris; Steyer’s odds skyrocket on ad spending and likelihood of qualifying for 3rd debate

For the second straight week, Trump’s odds saw a small decrease, this time from 1.91X to 1.93X. This is the lowest he’s been in 4 weeks, but not far from his all time high of 1.90X. The top 5 Democrats maintained their combined odds at 1.92X, meaning they moved slightly ahead of Trump.

There were big changes on the Democratic side as Elizabeth Warren passed Joe Biden for 2nd place overall. Warren’s odds continued to rocket, this time improving from 7.53X to 6.14X. The 6.14X is an all time high for her, and this is the first time that Warren has been in second place in 18 months. A Fox News poll showed her recent surge where she is now preferred by 20% of Democrats compared to just 4% in March.

Biden’s odds dropped from 6.62X to 6.89X, his lowest in 3 weeks. That same poll showed he is still the leader with him being preferred by 31%, flat to March.

Kamala Harris’ odds continued to drop this time from 8.9X to 11.8X. The drop wasn’t driven by any news other than potentially being flat in that same Fox News poll at 8% now and back in March.

Bernie Sanders’ odds continued seeing life post the second debate improving from 12.9X to 12.1X. This is his highest in 8 weeks and and he is now within striking distance of Harris.

Tom Steyer’s odds rocketed from 221X to 137X as his spending on ads has put him in position to qualify for the third Democratic debate (needs one more poll to qualify)

John Hickenlooper announced he is ending his campaign. He may run for the Senate. He becomes the third Democrat to drop out, leaving only 23!

Here are the current odds for those better than 200 to 1:

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