Donald Trump’s odds saw a jump a few days after the Mueller testimony. They rose from last week’s 1.98X to 1.92X. Although that seems minimal, fact is his odds have been improving almost every week of the last 6 months, and this week’s improvement is more than the improvement of the prior 8 weeks combined. He is now tied from an odds perspective with the top 5 Democratic candidates who saw their combined odds drop from 1.89X to 1.92X.

The hottest name continued to be Elizabeth Warren. Her odds improved from last week’s 8.88X to 8.36X, another new high. She has now improved in 13 of the last 14 weeks and is within striking distance of Joe Biden’s odds.

Speaking of Biden, favorable polls released showed there is a gap between how the Democratic base and oddsmakers feel about him vs. the general public. One poll from Fox News showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points head to head while other Democrats were tied with the President. Despite the polls, his saw a light drop this week from 8.19X to 8.26X. He is still behind Kamala Harris at 6.26X. Harris has now dropped the last two weeks from 5.57X, her all time high.

Two names that showed signs of life from an odds perspective and who need to breakout at this week’s upcoming debates are Amy Klobuchar and Steve bullock. Klobuchar was a breakout candidate prior to the last debate, when she was at 68X but didn’t stand out, and she dropped to 84X after. She has improved every week since then and is now back to 74X. Steve Bullock remains an extreme long shot and was not even at the last debate. He has improved the last three weeks from 213X to the current 178X. He is one of the more centrist candidates and has had a hard time breaking out.

Here are the 41 candidates with better than 200 to 1 shot

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