Trump near all time highs; Biden down on allegations; Buttigieg remains hottest name; Sanders leads in fundraising; Tim Ryan enters race

For the second week in a row, Donald Trump’s Odds saw a big increase, this time from 2.41X to 2.35X. His odds have now improved for six straight weeks and are the highest since the middle of August 2018 when they were at 2.33X. His all time high was a few weeks before that at 2.31X near the beginning of August 2018.

As we forecast last week when the news was breaking, allegations of making women feel uncomfortable have negatively impacted Joe Biden’s odds. He dropped from 7.96X to 9.66X. He was at 7.18X, his high for the cycle, just two weeks ago. He is now stating he wants to be the last candidate to announce he is running.

Biden’s misfortune seems to have given Michael Bloomberg’s candidacy some oxygen. Axios reported Bloomberg would enter if Biden falters and the “centrist lane were to open up”. His odds improved from 111.2X to 83.8X and he moved up from 31st place to 15th place. Bloomberg was at 30.8X and in 9th place when he announced he was not running beginning of March.

Once again the hottest name remained Pete Buttigieg. A recent poll had him tied with Elizabeth Warren in 5th place. His odds this week improved from 19.0X to 14.2X, another new high. He was at 76.1X just a month ago and at 104.9X two months ago.

The other Democratic candidate with momentum this week was Bernie Sanders. His odds jumped on the news he led all the candidates in fundraising. He improved from 7.31X to 7.09X. He remains the leading Democratic candidate in the odds.

What’s another week without another Democratic candidate announcing? This week it was Tim Ryan’s turn. The odds for the Ohio Rep. improved from 177.2X to 150.0X, and he jumped from 77th place to 50th place, still a long shot.

Here is the full set of odds:

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