Donald Trump’s tough week translated into decreased odds.  Trump’s payout increased from 2.7X to 2.8X.  This is the highest it has been.  Trump was as low as 2.4X two months ago.  Although this change might seem small, it’s a 16% increase in payout.  The implied probability has also taken a hit, dropping from 23.7% to 22.7% in a week.  It peaked at 26.9% in the middle of January. He still has as much odds as the next four combined.

Oddly enough, one would argue Paul Ryan also had a bad week but his odds actually rebounded from last week.  He moved up to 9th place from 10th and his payout dropped from from 28.5X to 27.5X.  He is still lower than two weeks ago when he was in 8th place with a payout of 26.2X.

Michelle Obama remained in 4th place but her odds improved as the payout decreased from 14.7X to 14.2X.  That is her lowest payout of the month.

Mark Cuban was the biggest mover amongst the outsiders.  His payout dropped from 63.7X to 51.0X moving him from 25th place to 23rd place.

Mark Zuckerberg continued his hot streak moving from 18th place to 15th place with the payout dropping from 41.4X to 36.8X.  Two months ago he was in 45th place with a payout of 107X.

Here are the full odds:

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