Updated 2020 Election Odds: Trump Continues with Large Lead; Ryan with Big Move to 6th place; Biden Moves into 10th Place Despite Denying He is Running

Donald Trump continues to payout about 2.5 to 1 which gives him about a 26.5% probability relative to all other candidates.  The top 5 remains unchanged with Mike Pence followed by Elizabeth Warren, Michelle Obama, and Cory Booker.  They combine for 22.6% probability.

Paul Ryan had a big move up from 9th place to 6th place.  A $1 bet on him currently yields $19.3 payout.  He was in 12th place 4 weeks ago and has improved every week since.

Joe Biden had an eventful week. Early in the week some of his quotes lead to speculation about him running.  He came back in the middle of the week saying “I have no intention of running”. The talk still pushed his odds up to 10th place after last week’s 14th place showing.  Currently a $1 bet on him would payout $24.9 if he wins.

One name that was added to the odds is Newt Gingrich.  He makes his debut in 34th place (out of 43) with a payout of $101 for every $1 bet.

Here are the full odds:

2020-election-odds-12-10-16

 

Follow me @2016ElectOdds for updates

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