As we get closer to the conventions, odds for the VP candidates have become more plentiful. According to the odds, here’s the most likely candidates for both parties.
On the Republican side, the clear favorite is former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. He has the same probability as the next 5 combined.
The next three are current Senators: Joni Ernst (Iowa), Bob Corker (Tennessee), and Jeff Sessions (Alabama).
The next three ran against Trump for the nomination: Chris Christie (one of the first to support Trump after dropping out), John Kasich, and Ben Carson.
Here’s a list of the top 20:
The list is shorter and without as clear of a favorite for the Democrats.
Julian Castro, current Secretary of HUD and former Mayor of San Antonio, is the odds on favorite at 22.9%. The Democrats have groomed Castro as part of the next generation of leaders of the party the last few years.
Two Senators come in second and third in Tim Kaine of Virginia and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts. Warren and Trump are already involved in a Twitter war of words.
Current Secretary of Labor Tom Perez is in 4th followed by Bernie Sanders in 5th. Bernie Sanders is a great fit to unite the Democrats but might be unlikely given the current state of affairs between his camp and the Democratic leadership.
Here is a list of the top Democratic candidates:
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