Very little movement in the odds, as likelihood of Biden beating Trump remains at 62%. Harris continues to lead for VP, and Bass continues to improve; Electoral forecast still at 315 Biden to 223 Trump

Biden reaches another all time high at 1.56X up from last week’s 1.57X

Interestingly Trump’s odds also increased from 2.60X to 2.58X (Other alternative candidates dropped)

Implied odds for Biden now at 62.4%, slightly higher than last week’s 62.3%

Here’s the overall odds and trend:

On the VP side Harris continues to lead but she’s had an up and down week. She went into the week at 3.0X, dropped, and in the last two days has rebounded to the current 2.3X. She has led every week. The hottest name remains Bass who jumped from 8.0X to 7.7X. She remained in 3rd place overall behind Rice. Here’s the VP Odds:

Below are the electoral projections from 6 different sources. The only change was from the Economist whose model moved from 188 for Trump to 191. That was not enough to move the overall average which remained at 315 Biden to 223 for Trump.

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Biden reaches an all time high while Trump is at his lowest since March 2019; Harris continues to lead, but her lead keeps shrinking; Biden with strong lead on the electoral side

Biden at an all time high improving from 1.60X to 1.57X

Trump drops from 2.55X to 2.60X, his lowest odds since March 2019

Implied odds for Biden now at 62.3%

Here’s the overall odds and trend:

On the VP side Harris continues to lead but her lead continues to shrink. Rice and Bass have been showing the biggest improvements the last two weeks and are now her closest competitors. Here’s the VP Odds:

Below are the electoral projections from 6 different sources. The average currently is 315 Biden to 223 for Trump. That is an improvement of 1 electoral vote for Biden vs. last week.

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Biden near all time high odds vs Trump; Rice and Bass get closer to Harris for VP; Electoral projections from different outlets

Biden matched his all time high from four weeks ago at 1.60X

Trump near his recent low at 2.55X

Implied odds for Biden now at 61.4%

Here’s the overall odds and trend:

On the VP side Harris’ lead shrinks with Rice and Bass showing the biggest improvements. Here’s the VP Odds:

Below are the electoral projections from 6 different sources. The average currently is 314 Biden to 224 for Trump

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Views – 21

News and Odds about the Presidential Elections